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icon for Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

icon for Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

47% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
47% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individuals in one or more of the following categories between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The covered categories are: - Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump. - Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress. - Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden. - Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used. The Trump Department of Justice's April 28 federal indictment of former FBI Director James Comey—a vocal critic—for an alleged social media threat marks the latest action against perceived opponents, following a prior dismissed case and recent charges against a Fauci aide, yet trader consensus implies a slight 52.5% probability of no further such indictments by May 31 amid First Amendment challenges and judicial skepticism. This closely contested market reflects DOJ probes under acting Attorney General Todd Blanche into figures like ex-CIA Director John Brennan or Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer, balanced against short timelines, potential court dismissals, and institutional hurdles to high-profile prosecutions of political rivals before the deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individuals in one or more of the following categories between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The covered categories are:

- Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump.

- Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress.

- Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden.

- Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$7,401
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 10:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individuals in one or more of the following categories between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The covered categories are: - Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump. - Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress. - Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden. - Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individuals in one or more of the following categories between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The covered categories are: - Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump. - Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress. - Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden. - Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used. The Trump Department of Justice's April 28 federal indictment of former FBI Director James Comey—a vocal critic—for an alleged social media threat marks the latest action against perceived opponents, following a prior dismissed case and recent charges against a Fauci aide, yet trader consensus implies a slight 52.5% probability of no further such indictments by May 31 amid First Amendment challenges and judicial skepticism. This closely contested market reflects DOJ probes under acting Attorney General Todd Blanche into figures like ex-CIA Director John Brennan or Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer, balanced against short timelines, potential court dismissals, and institutional hurdles to high-profile prosecutions of political rivals before the deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individuals in one or more of the following categories between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The covered categories are:

- Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump.

- Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress.

- Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden.

- Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$7,401
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 10:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individuals in one or more of the following categories between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The covered categories are: - Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump. - Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress. - Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden. - Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 47% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 47¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 47% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 29, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?" es 47% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 47% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.