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Strikes predictions & odds

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Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?

Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?

1%

UAE

$4M Vol.

$64.2K today

$96.1K Liq.

Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?

Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?

<1%

April 30

$372K Vol.

$23.7K Liq.

2

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by...?

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by...?

<1%

April 30

$62.4K Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

Thailand strikes Cambodia by...?

Thailand strikes Cambodia by...?

7%

June 30, 2026

$66.7K Vol.

$13.2K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

92%

$640K Vol.

$44.7K Liq.

62

Ends in about 2 months

SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?

SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?

92%

$112K Vol.

$15.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 4 months

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

55%

2.0T+

$875K Vol.

$61.7K Liq.

8

Ends in over 1 year

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

93%

1T+

$3M Vol.

$85.5K Liq.

42

Ends in over 1 year

Noah Kahan 'The Great Divide' First Week Album Sales? (Higher Strikes)

Noah Kahan 'The Great Divide' First Week Album Sales? (Higher Strikes)

38%

325k-350k

$1.7K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes)

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes)

25%

≤8

$83.3K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

3%

Bahrain

$5M Vol.

$94.7K today

$130K Liq.

1

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by...?

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by...?

<1%

April 30

$2M Vol.

$20.2K Liq.

299

Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

<1%

April 30

$1M Vol.

$18.8K Liq.

131

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

1%

April 30

$75.9K Vol.

$9.2K Liq.

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

4%

$841K Vol.

$31.2K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?

What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?

2%

Ghawar Field

$550K Vol.

$54.6K Liq.

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

26%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$42.1K Liq.

165

Ends in about 2 months

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?

2%

April 30

$3M Vol.

$66.1K today

$15.6K Liq.

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

23%

December 31

$2M Vol.

$69.2K Liq.

34

Ends in 8 months

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

34%

3

$7M Vol.

$409K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Strikes.

Polymarket currently hosts 241 active markets for Strikes that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $31.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 34% chance to 3. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Strikes predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.