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HIP 4 predictions & odds

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Will Hyperliquid's HIP-4 upgrade go live on mainnet by ___ ?

Will Hyperliquid's HIP-4 upgrade go live on mainnet by ___ ?

100%

December 31, 2026

$15.8K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest reach in 2026?

What will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest reach in 2026?

97%

$3B

$30.2K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

IA-04 House Election Winner

IA-04 House Election Winner

89%

Republican Party

$2.3K Vol.

$26.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

18%

$41.3K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

9

Ends in about 2 months

LA-04 House Election Winner

LA-04 House Election Winner

90%

Republican Party

$1.7K Vol.

$23.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

CA-04 Primary Winners

CA-04 Primary Winners

98%

Mike Thompson

$22.7K Vol.

$44.5K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

SC-04 House Election Winner

SC-04 House Election Winner

89%

Republican Party

$8.8K Vol.

$23.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

UT-04 House Election Winner

UT-04 House Election Winner

91%

Republican Party

$3.3K Vol.

$24.2K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

White House # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?

White House # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?

99%

180-199

$115K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

Ends in about 7 hours

TX-04 House Election Winner

TX-04 House Election Winner

86%

Republican Party

$3.5K Vol.

$22.6K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

White House # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

White House # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

44%

160-179

$46.8K Vol.

$23.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

MS-04 House Election Winner

MS-04 House Election Winner

94%

Republican Party

$23.4K Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

CO-04 House Election Winner

CO-04 House Election Winner

64%

Republican Party

$6.0K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

White House # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

White House # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

29%

160-179

$3.6K Vol.

$23.2K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

KS-04 House Election Winner

KS-04 House Election Winner

84%

Republican Party

$30.9K Vol.

$23.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

NY-04 House Election Winner

NY-04 House Election Winner

73%

Democratic Party

$90 Vol.

$931 Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 4-10?

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 4-10?

80%

OpenAI

$733 Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

54%

0

$1M Vol.

$39.7K Liq.

9

Ends in 11 months

MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?

MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?

34%

$3 Vol.

$353 Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Galorys (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Galorys (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs

63%

Imperial

$8 Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

Ends in about 18 hours

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like HIP 4.

Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for HIP 4 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Hyperliquid's HIP-4 upgrade go live on mainnet by ___ ?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Galorys (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 54% chance to 0. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on HIP 4 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.