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Sports·Soccer

World Cup: Worst-Placed UEFA Nation

icon for World Cup: Worst-Placed UEFA Nation
Sports·Soccer

World Cup: Worst-Placed UEFA Nation

Bosnia and Herzegovina 47%

Croatia 47%

England 47%

France 47%

Polymarket
NEW

Bosnia and Herzegovina 47%

Croatia 47%

England 47%

France 47%

Polymarket
NEW

Austria

$0 Vol.

46%

Belgium

$0 Vol.

46%

Bosnia and Herzegovina

$0 Vol.

47%

Croatia

$0 Vol.

47%

Czechia

$0 Vol.

46%

England

$0 Vol.

47%

France

$0 Vol.

47%

Germany

$0 Vol.

47%

Netherlands

$0 Vol.

47%

Norway

$0 Vol.

46%

Portugal

$0 Vol.

47%

Scotland

$0 Vol.

46%

Spain

$0 Vol.

47%

Sweden

$0 Vol.

46%

Switzerland

$0 Vol.

46%

Türkiye

$0 Vol.

46%

This market will resolve in favor of the nation in UEFA (Europe) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 FIFA World Cup draw has created a tightly bunched field among UEFA entrants, with no single nation emerging as the clear frontrunner to post the weakest overall results. Competitive group assignments, mixed recent qualifying and Nations League form, and injury uncertainties across squads like Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Scotland, and Türkiye keep implied probabilities clustered near even money. Stronger sides such as England, France, Germany, the Netherlands, Portugal, and Spain also carry realistic downside risk from tough matchups or early exits, while mid-tier options including Austria, Belgium, Czechia, Norway, Sweden, and Switzerland face comparable elimination threats. Trader consensus reflects this broad parity, with outcomes hinging on group-stage results and potential upsets once matches begin.

This market will resolve in favor of the nation in UEFA (Europe) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
Aug 3, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 7:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in UEFA (Europe) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in UEFA (Europe) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 FIFA World Cup draw has created a tightly bunched field among UEFA entrants, with no single nation emerging as the clear frontrunner to post the weakest overall results. Competitive group assignments, mixed recent qualifying and Nations League form, and injury uncertainties across squads like Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Scotland, and Türkiye keep implied probabilities clustered near even money. Stronger sides such as England, France, Germany, the Netherlands, Portugal, and Spain also carry realistic downside risk from tough matchups or early exits, while mid-tier options including Austria, Belgium, Czechia, Norway, Sweden, and Switzerland face comparable elimination threats. Trader consensus reflects this broad parity, with outcomes hinging on group-stage results and potential upsets once matches begin.

This market will resolve in favor of the nation in UEFA (Europe) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
Aug 3, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 7:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in UEFA (Europe) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: Worst-Placed UEFA Nation" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bosnia and Herzegovina" at 47%, followed by "Croatia" at 47%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 47¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"World Cup: Worst-Placed UEFA Nation" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "World Cup: Worst-Placed UEFA Nation," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup: Worst-Placed UEFA Nation" is "Bosnia and Herzegovina" at 47%, meaning the market assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Croatia" at 47%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: Worst-Placed UEFA Nation" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.