Several AFC nations qualified for the 2026 World Cup with comparable recent form from qualifiers, producing tightly bunched implied probabilities around 47-51.5%. South Korea, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, and others share similar squad profiles, inconsistent attacking output, and demanding group matchups against stronger sides that limit clear differentiation in projected points or placement. Recent results highlight defensive vulnerabilities and limited depth for multiple contenders, sustaining trader uncertainty over which team finishes lowest among the confederation's representatives.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIran 50%
Jordan 49%
South Korea 48%
Saudi Arabia 47%
Australia
14%
Iran
50%
Iraq
46%
Japan
23%
Jordan
49%
Qatar
45%
Saudi Arabia
47%
South Korea
48%
Uzbekistan
46%
Iran 50%
Jordan 49%
South Korea 48%
Saudi Arabia 47%
Australia
14%
Iran
50%
Iraq
46%
Japan
23%
Jordan
49%
Qatar
45%
Saudi Arabia
47%
South Korea
48%
Uzbekistan
46%
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed AFC nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed AFC nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Several AFC nations qualified for the 2026 World Cup with comparable recent form from qualifiers, producing tightly bunched implied probabilities around 47-51.5%. South Korea, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, and others share similar squad profiles, inconsistent attacking output, and demanding group matchups against stronger sides that limit clear differentiation in projected points or placement. Recent results highlight defensive vulnerabilities and limited depth for multiple contenders, sustaining trader uncertainty over which team finishes lowest among the confederation's representatives.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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