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Sports·Soccer

World Cup: Worst-Placed CAF Nation

icon for World Cup: Worst-Placed CAF Nation
Sports·Soccer

World Cup: Worst-Placed CAF Nation

Cape Verde 50%

Algeria 47%

Ghana 47%

Ivory Coast 47%

Polymarket
NEW

Cape Verde 50%

Algeria 47%

Ghana 47%

Ivory Coast 47%

Polymarket
NEW

Algeria

$0 Vol.

47%

Cape Verde

$0 Vol.

50%

Congo DR

$0 Vol.

44%

Egypt

$0 Vol.

46%

Ghana

$0 Vol.

47%

Ivory Coast

$0 Vol.

47%

Morocco

$25 Vol.

37%

Senegal

$0 Vol.

45%

South Africa

$0 Vol.

44%

Tunisia

$0 Vol.

44%

This market will resolve in favor of the nation in CAF (Africa) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed CAF nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tightly clustered probabilities around 45-50% for multiple CAF sides stem from the completed 2026 qualifiers, where nine African nations earned direct berths and a tenth remains in playoff contention, creating a level field with no clear weakest link. Recent group-stage results highlighted competitive balance, including Cape Verde's debut qualification alongside established teams like Morocco and Senegal, while factors such as the expanded tournament format, varied group draws, and historical early exits for African sides keep outcomes uncertain. Trader consensus prices in the potential for any of these squads to finish last based on schedule difficulty, current form, and typical variance in international competition.

This market will resolve in favor of the nation in CAF (Africa) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed CAF nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$25
End Date
Aug 3, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 4:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in CAF (Africa) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed CAF nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in CAF (Africa) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed CAF nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tightly clustered probabilities around 45-50% for multiple CAF sides stem from the completed 2026 qualifiers, where nine African nations earned direct berths and a tenth remains in playoff contention, creating a level field with no clear weakest link. Recent group-stage results highlighted competitive balance, including Cape Verde's debut qualification alongside established teams like Morocco and Senegal, while factors such as the expanded tournament format, varied group draws, and historical early exits for African sides keep outcomes uncertain. Trader consensus prices in the potential for any of these squads to finish last based on schedule difficulty, current form, and typical variance in international competition.

This market will resolve in favor of the nation in CAF (Africa) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed CAF nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$25
End Date
Aug 3, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 4:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in CAF (Africa) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed CAF nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: Worst-Placed CAF Nation" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cape Verde" at 50%, followed by "Algeria" at 47%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"World Cup: Worst-Placed CAF Nation" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "World Cup: Worst-Placed CAF Nation," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup: Worst-Placed CAF Nation" is "Cape Verde" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Algeria" at 47%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: Worst-Placed CAF Nation" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.