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World Cup: Canada Stage of Elimination

icon for World Cup: Canada Stage of Elimination

World Cup: Canada Stage of Elimination

Round of 32 47%

Round of 16 32%

Group Stage 14%

Quarterfinals 6%

Polymarket
NEW

Round of 32 47%

Round of 16 32%

Group Stage 14%

Quarterfinals 6%

Polymarket
NEW

Round of 32

$1,456 Vol.

47%

Round of 16

$1,359 Vol.

32%

Group Stage

$915 Vol.

14%

Quarterfinals

$362 Vol.

6%

Semifinals

$363 Vol.

2%

Champion

$486 Vol.

<1%

Final

$450 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Canada is eliminated. If Canada wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Canada is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Canada based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Canada enters the 2026 World Cup in Group B alongside Switzerland, Bosnia and Herzegovina, and Qatar, with a 26-man squad featuring Alphonso Davies, Jonathan David, and Tajon Buchanan under coach Jesse Marsch. The team secured its first-ever World Cup point via a 1-1 draw against Bosnia on June 12 in Toronto, building on strong recent form that includes just one loss in 16 matches since early 2025. Home matches against Qatar on June 18 and Switzerland on June 24 offer a realistic path to the Round of 32 for the first time in program history, though advancing further remains challenging given historical results and the group's competitive balance. Trader consensus reflects this narrow margin, with pricing clustered around group-stage survival versus a first-round knockout exit.

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Canada is eliminated. If Canada wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Canada is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Canada based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,391
End Date
Jul 19, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Canada is eliminated. If Canada wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Canada is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Canada based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Canada is eliminated. If Canada wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Canada is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Canada based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Canada enters the 2026 World Cup in Group B alongside Switzerland, Bosnia and Herzegovina, and Qatar, with a 26-man squad featuring Alphonso Davies, Jonathan David, and Tajon Buchanan under coach Jesse Marsch. The team secured its first-ever World Cup point via a 1-1 draw against Bosnia on June 12 in Toronto, building on strong recent form that includes just one loss in 16 matches since early 2025. Home matches against Qatar on June 18 and Switzerland on June 24 offer a realistic path to the Round of 32 for the first time in program history, though advancing further remains challenging given historical results and the group's competitive balance. Trader consensus reflects this narrow margin, with pricing clustered around group-stage survival versus a first-round knockout exit.

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Canada is eliminated. If Canada wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Canada is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Canada based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,391
End Date
Jul 19, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Canada is eliminated. If Canada wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Canada is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Canada based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: Canada Stage of Elimination" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Round of 32" at 47%, followed by "Round of 16" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 47¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"World Cup: Canada Stage of Elimination" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "World Cup: Canada Stage of Elimination," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup: Canada Stage of Elimination" is "Round of 32" at 47%, meaning the market assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Round of 16" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: Canada Stage of Elimination" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.