The Philippine Senate, sitting as an impeachment court, opened proceedings against Vice President Sara Duterte in May 2026 after the House transmitted articles alleging threats against the president and other misconduct. The full trial is scheduled to begin July 6, with Duterte filing a detailed response by the June 1 deadline that challenged the articles on constitutional, procedural, and substantive grounds. Conviction requires a two-thirds Senate vote, or 16 of 24 members, while Duterte needs only nine supporters to block removal and disqualification. Senate leadership changes and documented alliances have positioned several members to resist conviction, consistent with the chamber’s handling of the prior impeachment attempt that ended before trial. These institutional and political alignments underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 68.5% probability against conviction.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The Philippine Senate, sitting as an impeachment court, opened proceedings against Vice President Sara Duterte in May 2026 after the House transmitted articles alleging threats against the president and other misconduct. The full trial is scheduled to begin July 6, with Duterte filing a detailed response by the June 1 deadline that challenged the articles on constitutional, procedural, and substantive grounds. Conviction requires a two-thirds Senate vote, or 16 of 24 members, while Duterte needs only nine supporters to block removal and disqualification. Senate leadership changes and documented alliances have positioned several members to resist conviction, consistent with the chamber’s handling of the prior impeachment attempt that ended before trial. These institutional and political alignments underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 68.5% probability against conviction.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Market Opened: May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Volume
$2,661End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The Philippine Senate, sitting as an impeachment court, opened proceedings against Vice President Sara Duterte in May 2026 after the House transmitted articles alleging threats against the president and other misconduct. The full trial is scheduled to begin July 6, with Duterte filing a detailed response by the June 1 deadline that challenged the articles on constitutional, procedural, and substantive grounds. Conviction requires a two-thirds Senate vote, or 16 of 24 members, while Duterte needs only nine supporters to block removal and disqualification. Senate leadership changes and documented alliances have positioned several members to resist conviction, consistent with the chamber’s handling of the prior impeachment attempt that ended before trial. These institutional and political alignments underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 68.5% probability against conviction.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$2,661End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Philippine Senate, sitting as an impeachment court, opened proceedings against Vice President Sara Duterte in May 2026 after the House transmitted articles alleging threats against the president and other misconduct. The full trial is scheduled to begin July 6, with Duterte filing a detailed response by the June 1 deadline that challenged the articles on constitutional, procedural, and substantive grounds. Conviction requires a two-thirds Senate vote, or 16 of 24 members, while Duterte needs only nine supporters to block removal and disqualification. Senate leadership changes and documented alliances have positioned several members to resist conviction, consistent with the chamber’s handling of the prior impeachment attempt that ended before trial. These institutional and political alignments underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 68.5% probability against conviction.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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