Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "None" at 99.5% for a men's Calendar Grand Slam in 2026, reflecting the historical rarity—no player has achieved it since Rod Laver in 1969—and Carlos Alcaraz's recent right wrist injury that forced his withdrawal from the French Open, the next required major after his Australian Open triumph. Alcaraz, the youngest to complete a Career Grand Slam with his AO title over Djokovic, reached the Monte Carlo final before the Barcelona setback sidelined him from Madrid, Rome, and Roland Garros. No other player holds the AO win needed to pursue the sweep, cementing the near-impossibility. A dramatic recovery and late FO entry could theoretically revive faint 0.1% Alcaraz odds, but official medical clearance appears unlikely amid swelling concerns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$275,066 Vol.
$275,066 Vol.
None
100%
Carlos Alcaraz
<1%
$275,066 Vol.
$275,066 Vol.
None
100%
Carlos Alcaraz
<1%
This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 6, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "None" at 99.5% for a men's Calendar Grand Slam in 2026, reflecting the historical rarity—no player has achieved it since Rod Laver in 1969—and Carlos Alcaraz's recent right wrist injury that forced his withdrawal from the French Open, the next required major after his Australian Open triumph. Alcaraz, the youngest to complete a Career Grand Slam with his AO title over Djokovic, reached the Monte Carlo final before the Barcelona setback sidelined him from Madrid, Rome, and Roland Garros. No other player holds the AO win needed to pursue the sweep, cementing the near-impossibility. A dramatic recovery and late FO entry could theoretically revive faint 0.1% Alcaraz odds, but official medical clearance appears unlikely amid swelling concerns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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