Jannik Sinner's 67.5% implied probability as the Roland Garros favorite reflects his Monte-Carlo Masters title two weeks ago, where he defeated Carlos Alcaraz in the final and Alexander Zverev in the semis en route to reclaiming the world No. 1 ranking, showcasing improved clay-court baseline patience and serve dominance. Alcaraz's recent wrist injury withdrawal from the tournament—coupled with Novak Djokovic's ongoing injury sidelining him from Madrid—clears Sinner's path as top seed in a wide-open draw. Zverev (7.5%) gains from his strong clay history and RG final experience, while Djokovic (7.1%) clings to legacy despite fitness concerns; Alcaraz lingers at 5.8% on raw talent amid uncertainty, with dark horses like Khachanov and Medvedev buoyed by surface suitability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2026 Men’s Singles Roland Garros: Winner
2026 Men’s Singles Roland Garros: Winner
Jannik Sinner 68%
Alexander Zverev 8%
Novak Djokovic 7.1%
Carlos Alcaraz 6.3%
$47,344 Vol.
$47,344 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
68%
Alexander Zverev
8%
Novak Djokovic
7%
Carlos Alcaraz
6%
Karen Khachanov
4%
Daniil Medvedev
4%
Lorenzo Musetti
3%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
3%
Flavio Cobolli
3%
Taylor Fritz
2%
Alexander Bublik
2%
Tommy Paul
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Alex de Minaur
1%
Casper Ruud
1%
Francisco Cerundolo
1%
Ben Shelton
1%
Andrey Rublev
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Jannik Sinner 68%
Alexander Zverev 8%
Novak Djokovic 7.1%
Carlos Alcaraz 6.3%
$47,344 Vol.
$47,344 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
68%
Alexander Zverev
8%
Novak Djokovic
7%
Carlos Alcaraz
6%
Karen Khachanov
4%
Daniil Medvedev
4%
Lorenzo Musetti
3%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
3%
Flavio Cobolli
3%
Taylor Fritz
2%
Alexander Bublik
2%
Tommy Paul
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Alex de Minaur
1%
Casper Ruud
1%
Francisco Cerundolo
1%
Ben Shelton
1%
Andrey Rublev
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Roland Garros Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Roland Garros Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after June 21, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Roland Garros (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 16, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Roland Garros Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Roland Garros Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after June 21, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Roland Garros (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jannik Sinner's 67.5% implied probability as the Roland Garros favorite reflects his Monte-Carlo Masters title two weeks ago, where he defeated Carlos Alcaraz in the final and Alexander Zverev in the semis en route to reclaiming the world No. 1 ranking, showcasing improved clay-court baseline patience and serve dominance. Alcaraz's recent wrist injury withdrawal from the tournament—coupled with Novak Djokovic's ongoing injury sidelining him from Madrid—clears Sinner's path as top seed in a wide-open draw. Zverev (7.5%) gains from his strong clay history and RG final experience, while Djokovic (7.1%) clings to legacy despite fitness concerns; Alcaraz lingers at 5.8% on raw talent amid uncertainty, with dark horses like Khachanov and Medvedev buoyed by surface suitability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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