World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka commands trader consensus for the 2026 Women's French Open at 31.5% implied probability, fueled by her near-perfect 25-1 record this season and impressive clay-court start at the Mutua Madrid Open, including a comeback three-set win over Naomi Osaka in the fourth round three days ago and a straight-sets victory against Jaqueline Cristian. Iga Świątek trails at 17.5% amid a sharp form dip that dropped her to No. 4 in WTA rankings, a coaching split with Wim Fissette, and no titles in 2026 clay prep despite her four prior Roland Garros triumphs. Elena Rybakina holds third at 11.1% on consistent No. 2 form, while Mirra Andreeva's semifinal push in Madrid elevates her to 8.5% as a rising clay threat.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAryna Sabalenka 32%
Iga Świątek 18%
Elena Rybakina 11.1%
Mirra Andreeva 8.5%
$2,599,527 Vol.
$2,599,527 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
32%
Iga Świątek
18%
Elena Rybakina
11%
Mirra Andreeva
9%
Coco Gauff
8%
Marta Kostyuk
2%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Victoria Mboko
2%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Amanda Anisimova
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Anastasia Potapova
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Alexandra Eala
<1%
Donna Vekić
<1%
Leylah Fernandez
<1%
Clara Tauson
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Emma Navarro
<1%
Bianca Andreescu
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Sofia Kenin
<1%
Anna Kalinskaya
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Belinda Bencic
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
<1%
Loïs Boisson
<1%
Victoria Azarenka
<1%
Emma Raducanu
<1%
Veronika Kudermetova
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Yulia Putintseva
<1%
Katie Boulter
<1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Danielle Collins
<1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Karolína Plíšková
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 32%
Iga Świątek 18%
Elena Rybakina 11.1%
Mirra Andreeva 8.5%
$2,599,527 Vol.
$2,599,527 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
32%
Iga Świątek
18%
Elena Rybakina
11%
Mirra Andreeva
9%
Coco Gauff
8%
Marta Kostyuk
2%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Victoria Mboko
2%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Amanda Anisimova
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Anastasia Potapova
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Alexandra Eala
<1%
Donna Vekić
<1%
Leylah Fernandez
<1%
Clara Tauson
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Emma Navarro
<1%
Bianca Andreescu
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Sofia Kenin
<1%
Anna Kalinskaya
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Belinda Bencic
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
<1%
Loïs Boisson
<1%
Victoria Azarenka
<1%
Emma Raducanu
<1%
Veronika Kudermetova
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Yulia Putintseva
<1%
Katie Boulter
<1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Danielle Collins
<1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Karolína Plíšková
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka commands trader consensus for the 2026 Women's French Open at 31.5% implied probability, fueled by her near-perfect 25-1 record this season and impressive clay-court start at the Mutua Madrid Open, including a comeback three-set win over Naomi Osaka in the fourth round three days ago and a straight-sets victory against Jaqueline Cristian. Iga Świątek trails at 17.5% amid a sharp form dip that dropped her to No. 4 in WTA rankings, a coaching split with Wim Fissette, and no titles in 2026 clay prep despite her four prior Roland Garros triumphs. Elena Rybakina holds third at 11.1% on consistent No. 2 form, while Mirra Andreeva's semifinal push in Madrid elevates her to 8.5% as a rising clay threat.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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