Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs "None" at 97.3% implied probability for a women's Calendar Grand Slam in 2026, underscoring the feat's rarity—last by Steffi Graf in 1988—amid demanding surfaces from Australian Open hard courts to French Open clay, Wimbledon grass, and US Open hard. Elena Rybakina holds the slim 1.9% at 2% after her Australian Open triumph over Aryna Sabalenka, bolstered by a 27-5 season record including her first clay title at Stuttgart over Karolina Muchova last week and a gritty Madrid second-round comeback win over Elena-Gabriela Ruse. Yet her French Open odds linger around +900 behind Sabalenka and Swiatek, with injury withdrawals earlier in Dubai and pre-Stuttgart fueling doubts on sustaining dominance through three more majors against top-ranked rivals. An upset path requires Rybakina flawless execution on clay, injury-free preparation, and peaking serve in high-stakes matchups.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1,569,885 Vol.
$1,569,885 Vol.
None
97%
Elena Rybakina
2%
$1,569,885 Vol.
$1,569,885 Vol.
None
97%
Elena Rybakina
2%
This market resolves to the single woman player who wins the Women's Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Women's Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for any listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka wins the 2026 Australian Open but loses in the first round of 2026 French Open) this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Women' Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 6, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market resolves to the single woman player who wins the Women's Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Women's Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for any listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka wins the 2026 Australian Open but loses in the first round of 2026 French Open) this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Women' Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs "None" at 97.3% implied probability for a women's Calendar Grand Slam in 2026, underscoring the feat's rarity—last by Steffi Graf in 1988—amid demanding surfaces from Australian Open hard courts to French Open clay, Wimbledon grass, and US Open hard. Elena Rybakina holds the slim 1.9% at 2% after her Australian Open triumph over Aryna Sabalenka, bolstered by a 27-5 season record including her first clay title at Stuttgart over Karolina Muchova last week and a gritty Madrid second-round comeback win over Elena-Gabriela Ruse. Yet her French Open odds linger around +900 behind Sabalenka and Swiatek, with injury withdrawals earlier in Dubai and pre-Stuttgart fueling doubts on sustaining dominance through three more majors against top-ranked rivals. An upset path requires Rybakina flawless execution on clay, injury-free preparation, and peaking serve in high-stakes matchups.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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