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Sports·Madrid Open

2026 Madrid Open: Men’s Singles Winner

icon for 2026 Madrid Open: Men’s Singles Winner
Sports·Madrid Open

2026 Madrid Open: Men’s Singles Winner

Jannik Sinner 74%

Alexander Zverev 11%

Arthur Fils 9.7%

Alexander Blockx 5.9%

Polymarket

$147,700 Vol.

Jannik Sinner 74%

Alexander Zverev 11%

Arthur Fils 9.7%

Alexander Blockx 5.9%

Polymarket

$147,700 Vol.

Jannik Sinner

$56,242 Vol.

74%

Alexander Zverev

$12,471 Vol.

11%

Arthur Fils

$10,035 Vol.

10%

Alexander Blockx

$4,740 Vol.

6%

Flavio Cobolli

$3,475 Vol.

2%

Dani Mérida

$150 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner leads trader consensus at 73.5% implied probability as world No. 1 and top seed, fresh off his Monte-Carlo Masters title where he crushed Alexander Zverev 6-1, 6-4 in the semifinals en route to a 21-match Masters winning streak, now advancing past Cameron Norrie and local wildcard Rafael Jódar in Madrid quarterfinals on high-altitude clay. Zverev sits at 11.0% with consistent deep runs despite the recent loss, while Arthur Fils' 9.8% reflects his Barcelona Open triumph and unbeaten clay streak, highlighted by a round-of-16 win over Tomás Martín Etcheverry. Alexander Blockx's surprise 5.9% stems from upsets over Felix Auger-Aliassime and defending champion Casper Ruud to reach quarterfinals, fueling underdog buzz amid the ongoing draw.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$147,700
End Date
May 4, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 7:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner leads trader consensus at 73.5% implied probability as world No. 1 and top seed, fresh off his Monte-Carlo Masters title where he crushed Alexander Zverev 6-1, 6-4 in the semifinals en route to a 21-match Masters winning streak, now advancing past Cameron Norrie and local wildcard Rafael Jódar in Madrid quarterfinals on high-altitude clay. Zverev sits at 11.0% with consistent deep runs despite the recent loss, while Arthur Fils' 9.8% reflects his Barcelona Open triumph and unbeaten clay streak, highlighted by a round-of-16 win over Tomás Martín Etcheverry. Alexander Blockx's surprise 5.9% stems from upsets over Felix Auger-Aliassime and defending champion Casper Ruud to reach quarterfinals, fueling underdog buzz amid the ongoing draw.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$147,700
End Date
May 4, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 7:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Madrid Open: Men’s Singles Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 97+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jannik Sinner" at 74%, followed by "Alexander Zverev" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Madrid Open: Men’s Singles Winner" has generated $147.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Madrid Open: Men’s Singles Winner," browse the 97+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Madrid Open: Men’s Singles Winner" is "Jannik Sinner" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexander Zverev" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Madrid Open: Men’s Singles Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.