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Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?
Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?

Jean Silva 37.0%

Movsar Evloev 24%

Brian Ortega 4.3%

Arnold Allen 3.1%

Polymarket

$12,335 Vol.

Jean Silva 37.0%

Movsar Evloev 24%

Brian Ortega 4.3%

Arnold Allen 3.1%

Polymarket

$12,335 Vol.

Jean Silva

$1,872 Vol.

26%

Movsar Evloev

$5,109 Vol.

40%

Brian Ortega

$461 Vol.

4%

Arnold Allen

$521 Vol.

3%

Steve Garcia

$438 Vol.

3%

Aljamain Sterling

$401 Vol.

12%

Youssef Zalal

$447 Vol.

1%

Yair Rodriguez

$383 Vol.

<1%

Diego Lopes

$492 Vol.

<1%

Lerone Murphy

$1,352 Vol.

28%

Alexander Volkanovski

$859 Vol.

53%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Trader consensus favors Alexander Volkanovski at 47% implied probability to remain UFC featherweight champion through year's end, anchored by his dominant unanimous decision title defense over Diego Lopes in the UFC 325 main event on February 1, solidifying his championship pedigree despite past setbacks. Movsar Evloev follows at 27%, the unbeaten 20-0 #1 contender whose majority decision victory over Lerone Murphy in the UFC Fight Night London main event on March 21 positions him as the frontrunner for the next title shot. Jean Silva's 13.4% reflects his knockout momentum and early-year defeat of Arnold Allen, while Aljamain Sterling's recent unanimous decision over Youssef Zalal at UFC Vegas 116 last weekend elevates him to #4 rankings amid his successful 3-1 featherweight transition. With no new title fight announced, these probabilities hinge on contender matchmaking and injury status.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$12,335
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 6:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Trader consensus favors Alexander Volkanovski at 47% implied probability to remain UFC featherweight champion through year's end, anchored by his dominant unanimous decision title defense over Diego Lopes in the UFC 325 main event on February 1, solidifying his championship pedigree despite past setbacks. Movsar Evloev follows at 27%, the unbeaten 20-0 #1 contender whose majority decision victory over Lerone Murphy in the UFC Fight Night London main event on March 21 positions him as the frontrunner for the next title shot. Jean Silva's 13.4% reflects his knockout momentum and early-year defeat of Arnold Allen, while Aljamain Sterling's recent unanimous decision over Youssef Zalal at UFC Vegas 116 last weekend elevates him to #4 rankings amid his successful 3-1 featherweight transition. With no new title fight announced, these probabilities hinge on contender matchmaking and injury status.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$12,335
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 6:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alexander Volkanovski" at 53%, followed by "Movsar Evloev" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?" has generated $12.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?" is "Alexander Volkanovski" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Movsar Evloev" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.