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Politics·Rewards 200, 4.5, 20

When will the DHS shutdown end?

icon for When will the DHS shutdown end?
Politics·Rewards 200, 4.5, 20

When will the DHS shutdown end?

Ended: Jul 31

Ended: Jul 31

April 27-May 3 100.0%

April 16-19 <1%

April 20-26 <1%

May 4-10 <1%

Polymarket

$51,482 Vol.

April 27-May 3 100.0%

April 16-19 <1%

April 20-26 <1%

May 4-10 <1%

Polymarket

$51,482 Vol.

April 16-19

$1,331 Vol.

No

April 20-26

$11,567 Vol.

No

April 27-May 3

$7,413 Vol.

Yes

May 4-10

$2,826 Vol.

No

May 11-17

$2,316 Vol.

No

May 18-24

$11,009 Vol.

No

May 25-31

$2,466 Vol.

No

June 1-7

$1,398 Vol.

No

June 8-14

$1,106 Vol.

No

June 15-21

$1,060 Vol.

No

June 22-28

$1,032 Vol.

No

June 29-July 5

$685 Vol.

No

July 6-12

$1,303 Vol.

No

July 13-19

$1,357 Vol.

No

July 20-26

$1,052 Vol.

No

July 27-31

$1,220 Vol.

No

After July 31

$2,340 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The House of Representatives passed a bipartisan funding bill Thursday, April 30, restoring appropriations for most Department of Homeland Security operations including TSA and disaster relief, after Senate approval over a month prior, effectively ending the record 76-day partial government shutdown stemming from immigration enforcement disputes. Traders' near-unanimous consensus on resolution by May 3 reflects confidence in imminent presidential signature, as President Trump is expected to sign promptly amid pressure to avert further disruptions. This commanding pricing underscores the wisdom of crowds in pricing political risk, with historical precedent showing quick enactment post-Congressional passage. Realistic challenges include an unlikely veto or signing delays, but bipartisan support minimizes such risks ahead of the bill's transmission to the White House.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$51,482
End Date
Jul 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 7:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The House of Representatives passed a bipartisan funding bill Thursday, April 30, restoring appropriations for most Department of Homeland Security operations including TSA and disaster relief, after Senate approval over a month prior, effectively ending the record 76-day partial government shutdown stemming from immigration enforcement disputes. Traders' near-unanimous consensus on resolution by May 3 reflects confidence in imminent presidential signature, as President Trump is expected to sign promptly amid pressure to avert further disruptions. This commanding pricing underscores the wisdom of crowds in pricing political risk, with historical precedent showing quick enactment post-Congressional passage. Realistic challenges include an unlikely veto or signing delays, but bipartisan support minimizes such risks ahead of the bill's transmission to the White House.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$51,482
End Date
Jul 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 7:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"When will the DHS shutdown end?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "April 27-May 3" at 100%, followed by "April 16-19" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "When will the DHS shutdown end?" has generated $51.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "When will the DHS shutdown end?," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "When will the DHS shutdown end?" is "April 27-May 3" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "April 16-19" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "When will the DHS shutdown end?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.