Trader consensus heavily favors no U.S. recognition of María Corina Machado as Venezuela's leader by year-end, reflecting the Trump administration's pivot to backing Delcy Rodríguez as interim president after the January 2026 U.S. operation ousted Nicolás Maduro. Recent State Department contacts with Machado and opposition figure Edmundo González Urrutia, alongside Secretary Rubio's meetings, emphasize electoral guarantees and transition support rather than anointing her leader. White House frustrations with Machado surfaced in February, Trump warned of risks to her return in March, and her April 20 call for swift elections has yet to prompt formal recognition amid ongoing coalition negotiations and procedural hurdles for new polls.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
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Dec 31, 2026
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Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no U.S. recognition of María Corina Machado as Venezuela's leader by year-end, reflecting the Trump administration's pivot to backing Delcy Rodríguez as interim president after the January 2026 U.S. operation ousted Nicolás Maduro. Recent State Department contacts with Machado and opposition figure Edmundo González Urrutia, alongside Secretary Rubio's meetings, emphasize electoral guarantees and transition support rather than anointing her leader. White House frustrations with Machado surfaced in February, Trump warned of risks to her return in March, and her April 20 call for swift elections has yet to prompt formal recognition amid ongoing coalition negotiations and procedural hurdles for new polls.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
Volume
$3,534End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no U.S. recognition of María Corina Machado as Venezuela's leader by year-end, reflecting the Trump administration's pivot to backing Delcy Rodríguez as interim president after the January 2026 U.S. operation ousted Nicolás Maduro. Recent State Department contacts with Machado and opposition figure Edmundo González Urrutia, alongside Secretary Rubio's meetings, emphasize electoral guarantees and transition support rather than anointing her leader. White House frustrations with Machado surfaced in February, Trump warned of risks to her return in March, and her April 20 call for swift elections has yet to prompt formal recognition amid ongoing coalition negotiations and procedural hurdles for new polls.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$3,534End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no U.S. recognition of María Corina Machado as Venezuela's leader by year-end, reflecting the Trump administration's pivot to backing Delcy Rodríguez as interim president after the January 2026 U.S. operation ousted Nicolás Maduro. Recent State Department contacts with Machado and opposition figure Edmundo González Urrutia, alongside Secretary Rubio's meetings, emphasize electoral guarantees and transition support rather than anointing her leader. White House frustrations with Machado surfaced in February, Trump warned of risks to her return in March, and her April 20 call for swift elections has yet to prompt formal recognition amid ongoing coalition negotiations and procedural hurdles for new polls.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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