Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has repeatedly stated that any peace agreement involving territorial concessions or security arrangements would require ratification via national referendum, typically after a verified ceasefire to ensure legitimacy and participation. US-led talks in late 2025 and early 2026, including Geneva sessions, advanced drafts of a framework but stalled over territory, Donbas status, and guarantees, with reports of pressure for elections and a referendum by mid-May 2026. Those timelines have not produced a scheduled vote. Ukrainian NGOs have challenged the referendum approach on constitutional grounds, while Russian positions emphasize prior territorial claims. Ongoing diplomatic efforts, potential further summits, and battlefield conditions remain the main variables that could enable or delay scheduling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUkraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$471,987 Vol.
June 30
1%
September 30
10%
December 31
18%
$471,987 Vol.
June 30
1%
September 30
10%
December 31
18%
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so.
Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 29, 2025, 1:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so.
Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has repeatedly stated that any peace agreement involving territorial concessions or security arrangements would require ratification via national referendum, typically after a verified ceasefire to ensure legitimacy and participation. US-led talks in late 2025 and early 2026, including Geneva sessions, advanced drafts of a framework but stalled over territory, Donbas status, and guarantees, with reports of pressure for elections and a referendum by mid-May 2026. Those timelines have not produced a scheduled vote. Ukrainian NGOs have challenged the referendum approach on constitutional grounds, while Russian positions emphasize prior territorial claims. Ongoing diplomatic efforts, potential further summits, and battlefield conditions remain the main variables that could enable or delay scheduling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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