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icon for Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
World·Romania

Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?

icon for Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
World·Romania

Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?

79% chance
Polymarket

$80,210 Vol.

79% chance
Polymarket

$80,210 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's pro-European Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan leads a minority National Liberal Party (PNL) government after the Social Democratic Party (PSD)—previously the coalition's largest partner—withdrew support on April 20, prompting seven PSD ministers to resign and triggering a political crisis over austerity measures. PSD allied with far-right AUR to file a no-confidence motion last week, securing over 260 parliamentary signatures exceeding the 233-vote threshold, with a floor vote slated for early May. This rapid coalition breakdown and procedural momentum underpin trader consensus implying an 80% chance of Bolojan's ouster by December 31, though he vows to govern as caretaker if defeated, potentially paving the way for snap elections or new coalition talks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$80,210
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 20, 2026, 4:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's pro-European Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan leads a minority National Liberal Party (PNL) government after the Social Democratic Party (PSD)—previously the coalition's largest partner—withdrew support on April 20, prompting seven PSD ministers to resign and triggering a political crisis over austerity measures. PSD allied with far-right AUR to file a no-confidence motion last week, securing over 260 parliamentary signatures exceeding the 233-vote threshold, with a floor vote slated for early May. This rapid coalition breakdown and procedural momentum underpin trader consensus implying an 80% chance of Bolojan's ouster by December 31, though he vows to govern as caretaker if defeated, potentially paving the way for snap elections or new coalition talks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$80,210
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 20, 2026, 4:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 79% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 79¢, the market collectively assigns a 79% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?" has generated $80.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?" is 79% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 79% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.