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icon for Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan out as President of UAE by...?
Geopolitics·United Arab Emirates

Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan out as President of UAE by...?

icon for Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan out as President of UAE by...?
Geopolitics·United Arab Emirates

Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan out as President of UAE by...?

$16,080 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$16,080 Vol.

Polymarket

June 30

$6,240 Vol.

3%

December 31

$9,840 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan ceases to be President of the United Arab Emirates for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan and the government of the United Arab Emirates; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan remains firmly entrenched as President of the United Arab Emirates and Ruler of Abu Dhabi, with active public engagements through late April 2026—including meetings with UK and Jordanian leaders, inspections of Fujairah Port, and addresses on artificial intelligence, space, and national sovereignty—solidifying trader consensus on leadership continuity. Earlier 2026 health rumors, amplified by unverified social media claims of death or flight, were publicly dismissed via his February appearance alongside US Senator Lindsey Graham. No Federal Supreme Council announcements signal succession, despite his son Sheikh Khaled bin Mohamed's 2023 designation as Abu Dhabi crown prince, positioning him as heir in the UAE's stable monarchical framework; absent sudden health events or palace intrigue, abrupt presidential change appears improbable.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan ceases to be President of the United Arab Emirates for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan and the government of the United Arab Emirates; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16,080
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 1:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan ceases to be President of the United Arab Emirates for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan and the government of the United Arab Emirates; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan ceases to be President of the United Arab Emirates for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan and the government of the United Arab Emirates; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan remains firmly entrenched as President of the United Arab Emirates and Ruler of Abu Dhabi, with active public engagements through late April 2026—including meetings with UK and Jordanian leaders, inspections of Fujairah Port, and addresses on artificial intelligence, space, and national sovereignty—solidifying trader consensus on leadership continuity. Earlier 2026 health rumors, amplified by unverified social media claims of death or flight, were publicly dismissed via his February appearance alongside US Senator Lindsey Graham. No Federal Supreme Council announcements signal succession, despite his son Sheikh Khaled bin Mohamed's 2023 designation as Abu Dhabi crown prince, positioning him as heir in the UAE's stable monarchical framework; absent sudden health events or palace intrigue, abrupt presidential change appears improbable.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan ceases to be President of the United Arab Emirates for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan and the government of the United Arab Emirates; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16,080
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 1:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan ceases to be President of the United Arab Emirates for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan and the government of the United Arab Emirates; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan out as President of UAE by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 9%, followed by "June 30" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 9¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 9% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan out as President of UAE by...?" has generated $16.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan out as President of UAE by...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan out as President of UAE by...?" is "December 31" at just 9%, with "June 30" close behind at 3%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan out as President of UAE by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.