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Elections·Brazil

Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner

icon for Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner
Elections·Brazil

Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner

Cleitinho Azevedo 56%

Rodrigo Pacheco 21%

Benoni Mendes 8.9%

Mateus Simões 8.6%

Polymarket
NEW

Cleitinho Azevedo 56%

Rodrigo Pacheco 21%

Benoni Mendes 8.9%

Mateus Simões 8.6%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Cleitinho Azevedo

Cleitinho Azevedo

$1,576 Vol.

56%

icon for Rodrigo Pacheco

Rodrigo Pacheco

$504 Vol.

21%

icon for Benoni Mendes

Benoni Mendes

$242 Vol.

9%

icon for Mateus Simões

Mateus Simões

$277 Vol.

9%

icon for Alexandre Kalil

Alexandre Kalil

$341 Vol.

9%

icon for Tadeu Leite

Tadeu Leite

$160 Vol.

1%

icon for Nikolas Ferreira

Nikolas Ferreira

$457 Vol.

1%

icon for Aécio Neves

Aécio Neves

$150 Vol.

1%

icon for Alexandre Silveira

Alexandre Silveira

$150 Vol.

1%

icon for Gabriel Azevedo

Gabriel Azevedo

$150 Vol.

1%

The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Senator Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos) at 56.5% implied probability to win the Minas Gerais gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, with a potential runoff on October 25, driven by his dominant performance in the latest Quaest poll released April 28.** The survey of 1,482 voters from April 22-26 shows him leading all first-round scenarios at 30-37%, ahead of Alexandre Kalil (PDT) at 14-18%, Rodrigo Pacheco (PSB) at 8-12%, and others like Benoni Mendes (Missão) and Mateus Simões (PSD, backed by Governor Romeu Zema) in single digits, amid 13-19% undecideds. This widens his edge from the tighter AtlasIntel poll earlier in April, where Pacheco briefly led; high undecideds and coalition negotiations could shift dynamics ahead of campaign ramps.

The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$3,991
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Senator Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos) at 56.5% implied probability to win the Minas Gerais gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, with a potential runoff on October 25, driven by his dominant performance in the latest Quaest poll released April 28.** The survey of 1,482 voters from April 22-26 shows him leading all first-round scenarios at 30-37%, ahead of Alexandre Kalil (PDT) at 14-18%, Rodrigo Pacheco (PSB) at 8-12%, and others like Benoni Mendes (Missão) and Mateus Simões (PSD, backed by Governor Romeu Zema) in single digits, amid 13-19% undecideds. This widens his edge from the tighter AtlasIntel poll earlier in April, where Pacheco briefly led; high undecideds and coalition negotiations could shift dynamics ahead of campaign ramps.

The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$3,991
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cleitinho Azevedo" at 56%, followed by "Rodrigo Pacheco" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner" is "Cleitinho Azevedo" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Rodrigo Pacheco" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.