Strong word-of-mouth and exceptional early holds continue to anchor trader sentiment for “Obsession’s” fourth weekend, with the 24-27 million range holding the highest implied probability at 42.5 percent. The low-budget horror romance from Focus Features opened to 17.2 million, then posted a rare 39 percent second-weekend jump to 24 million and another gain to 26.4 million in its third frame, crossing 100 million domestically by Memorial Day weekend—unprecedented outside holiday periods for the genre. This momentum, driven by viral social buzz and strong audience scores for director Curry Barker’s film, supports expectations of a still-robust fourth outing before any sharper drop-off. New competition from titles like “Backrooms” and typical post-holiday softening introduce downside risk, yet the film’s legs position the 21-27 million bands as the clear market consensus ahead of the June chart update.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office
24-27m 43%
21-24m 27%
27-30m 23%
<21m 7%
<21m
7%
21-24m
27%
24-27m
43%
27-30m
23%
>30m
6%
24-27m 43%
21-24m 27%
27-30m 23%
<21m 7%
<21m
7%
21-24m
27%
24-27m
43%
27-30m
23%
>30m
6%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong word-of-mouth and exceptional early holds continue to anchor trader sentiment for “Obsession’s” fourth weekend, with the 24-27 million range holding the highest implied probability at 42.5 percent. The low-budget horror romance from Focus Features opened to 17.2 million, then posted a rare 39 percent second-weekend jump to 24 million and another gain to 26.4 million in its third frame, crossing 100 million domestically by Memorial Day weekend—unprecedented outside holiday periods for the genre. This momentum, driven by viral social buzz and strong audience scores for director Curry Barker’s film, supports expectations of a still-robust fourth outing before any sharper drop-off. New competition from titles like “Backrooms” and typical post-holiday softening introduce downside risk, yet the film’s legs position the 21-27 million bands as the clear market consensus ahead of the June chart update.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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