A24’s “Backrooms” delivered a record-shattering $81 million domestic opening over Memorial Day weekend, more than doubling pre-release tracking and instantly becoming the studio’s biggest debut ever. This outsized start, fueled by the film’s viral internet origins, a $10 million budget, and strong Gen Z turnout, has anchored trader consensus on a second-weekend gross below $50 million at 95.3% implied probability. Industry analysts currently project roughly $48–50 million for the June 5–7 frame, consistent with typical horror drop patterns after non-franchise launches. An upset above $50 million would require unusually resilient word-of-mouth or a softer-than-expected hold from competing titles, scenarios traders currently view as low-probability given the film’s already elevated profile.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office
<50m 95.6%
50-55m 3.6%
>65m <1%
55-60m <1%
<50m
96%
50-55m
4%
55-60m
<1%
60-65m
<1%
>65m
1%
<50m 95.6%
50-55m 3.6%
>65m <1%
55-60m <1%
<50m
96%
50-55m
4%
55-60m
<1%
60-65m
<1%
>65m
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A24’s “Backrooms” delivered a record-shattering $81 million domestic opening over Memorial Day weekend, more than doubling pre-release tracking and instantly becoming the studio’s biggest debut ever. This outsized start, fueled by the film’s viral internet origins, a $10 million budget, and strong Gen Z turnout, has anchored trader consensus on a second-weekend gross below $50 million at 95.3% implied probability. Industry analysts currently project roughly $48–50 million for the June 5–7 frame, consistent with typical horror drop patterns after non-franchise launches. An upset above $50 million would require unusually resilient word-of-mouth or a softer-than-expected hold from competing titles, scenarios traders currently view as low-probability given the film’s already elevated profile.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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