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icon for ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
Tech·Apple

ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

icon for ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
Tech·Apple

ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

NEW

$32,173 Vol.

May 8, 2026
Polymarket

$32,173 Vol.

Polymarket

May 4

$10,555 Vol.

100%

May 5

$21,618 Vol.

100%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If ChatGPT is ranked the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT currently ranks #2 among free iPhone apps in the US Apple App Store, nipping at the heels of fitness app ALO amid volatile competition from Anthropic's Claude, which surged to #1 last week on viral side-by-side tests highlighting superior reasoning capabilities and 11x year-over-year download growth. OpenAI's April 20 app update and late-April GPT-5.5 model rollout have fueled a quick rebound, leveraging the app's 900 million+ user base and consistent high ratings (4.8 stars from 6.7 million reviews). Trader sentiment reflects this tug-of-war, with non-AI spikes from XChat and Netflix promotions adding uncertainty; watch for OpenAI's next feature drop or Claude enhancements to tip the scales before any market deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If ChatGPT is ranked the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$32,173
End Date
May 8, 2026
Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 4:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If ChatGPT is ranked the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Outcome proposed: Yes

Dispute window

Final

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If ChatGPT is ranked the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT currently ranks #2 among free iPhone apps in the US Apple App Store, nipping at the heels of fitness app ALO amid volatile competition from Anthropic's Claude, which surged to #1 last week on viral side-by-side tests highlighting superior reasoning capabilities and 11x year-over-year download growth. OpenAI's April 20 app update and late-April GPT-5.5 model rollout have fueled a quick rebound, leveraging the app's 900 million+ user base and consistent high ratings (4.8 stars from 6.7 million reviews). Trader sentiment reflects this tug-of-war, with non-AI spikes from XChat and Netflix promotions adding uncertainty; watch for OpenAI's next feature drop or Claude enhancements to tip the scales before any market deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If ChatGPT is ranked the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$32,173
End Date
May 8, 2026
Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 4:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If ChatGPT is ranked the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Outcome proposed: Yes

Dispute window

Final

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Frequently Asked Questions

"ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "May 4" at 100%, followed by "May 5" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?" has generated $32.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?" is "May 4" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "May 5" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.