Trader consensus slightly favors No. 11 Alexander Bublik at 54% implied probability over Sebastian Baez in their Internazionali BNL d'Italia round-of-32 clash on Rome's clay, balancing Bublik's higher ranking, explosive serve, and 1-0 head-to-head edge from their Miami hard-court meeting last year against Baez's superior clay baseline grinding and topspin-heavy game suited to the slower surface. Baez advanced yesterday with a 6-3, 7-6(5) win over Jenson Brooksby—his second straight-sets victory here—prompting minor odds shifts toward him on sportsbooks, underscoring the matchup's razor-thin margins. Bublik's recent clay improvements, including early-season wins before quarterfinal runs in Munich and Madrid, add momentum, but any serve falters or endurance test could swing it Baez's way amid no reported injuries.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated1st Set
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Alexander Bublik in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Alexander Bublik.
This market will resolve to 'Alexander Bublik' if Alexander Bublik advances against Sebastian Baez.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Alexander Bublik in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Baez” if Sebastian Baez wins the first set. It will resolve to “Bublik” if Alexander Bublik wins the first set.
If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Alexander Bublik in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set for total set markets.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ATP statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Alexander Bublik in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ATP statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Bublik and Sebastian Baez in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Bublik" if Alexander Bublik wins by 2 or more sets than Sebastian Baez, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Baez."
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ATP results.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Alexander Bublik in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ATP statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Alexander Bublik in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ATP statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Alexander Bublik in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ATP results.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Alexander Bublik in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ATP results.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Alexander Bublik in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ATP results.Trader consensus slightly favors No. 11 Alexander Bublik at 54% implied probability over Sebastian Baez in their Internazionali BNL d'Italia round-of-32 clash on Rome's clay, balancing Bublik's higher ranking, explosive serve, and 1-0 head-to-head edge from their Miami hard-court meeting last year against Baez's superior clay baseline grinding and topspin-heavy game suited to the slower surface. Baez advanced yesterday with a 6-3, 7-6(5) win over Jenson Brooksby—his second straight-sets victory here—prompting minor odds shifts toward him on sportsbooks, underscoring the matchup's razor-thin margins. Bublik's recent clay improvements, including early-season wins before quarterfinal runs in Munich and Madrid, add momentum, but any serve falters or endurance test could swing it Baez's way amid no reported injuries.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Alexander Bublik in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Alexander Bublik.
This market will resolve to 'Alexander Bublik' if Alexander Bublik advances against Sebastian Baez.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Alexander Bublik.
This market will resolve to 'Alexander Bublik' if Alexander Bublik advances against Sebastian Baez.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 6, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 6, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentResolver
0x65070BE91...1st Set
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Alexander Bublik in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Alexander Bublik.
This market will resolve to 'Alexander Bublik' if Alexander Bublik advances against Sebastian Baez.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Alexander Bublik in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Baez” if Sebastian Baez wins the first set. It will resolve to “Bublik” if Alexander Bublik wins the first set.
If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Alexander Bublik in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set for total set markets.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ATP statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Alexander Bublik in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ATP statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Bublik and Sebastian Baez in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Bublik" if Alexander Bublik wins by 2 or more sets than Sebastian Baez, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Baez."
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ATP results.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Alexander Bublik in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ATP statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Alexander Bublik in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ATP statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Alexander Bublik in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ATP results.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Alexander Bublik in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ATP results.This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Alexander Bublik in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ATP results.Trader consensus slightly favors No. 11 Alexander Bublik at 54% implied probability over Sebastian Baez in their Internazionali BNL d'Italia round-of-32 clash on Rome's clay, balancing Bublik's higher ranking, explosive serve, and 1-0 head-to-head edge from their Miami hard-court meeting last year against Baez's superior clay baseline grinding and topspin-heavy game suited to the slower surface. Baez advanced yesterday with a 6-3, 7-6(5) win over Jenson Brooksby—his second straight-sets victory here—prompting minor odds shifts toward him on sportsbooks, underscoring the matchup's razor-thin margins. Bublik's recent clay improvements, including early-season wins before quarterfinal runs in Munich and Madrid, add momentum, but any serve falters or endurance test could swing it Baez's way amid no reported injuries.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Alexander Bublik in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Alexander Bublik.
This market will resolve to 'Alexander Bublik' if Alexander Bublik advances against Sebastian Baez.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Alexander Bublik.
This market will resolve to 'Alexander Bublik' if Alexander Bublik advances against Sebastian Baez.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 6, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 6, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus slightly favors No. 11 Alexander Bublik at 54% implied probability over Sebastian Baez in their Internazionali BNL d'Italia round-of-32 clash on Rome's clay, balancing Bublik's higher ranking, explosive serve, and 1-0 head-to-head edge from their Miami hard-court meeting last year against Baez's superior clay baseline grinding and topspin-heavy game suited to the slower surface. Baez advanced yesterday with a 6-3, 7-6(5) win over Jenson Brooksby—his second straight-sets victory here—prompting minor odds shifts toward him on sportsbooks, underscoring the matchup's razor-thin margins. Bublik's recent clay improvements, including early-season wins before quarterfinal runs in Munich and Madrid, add momentum, but any serve falters or endurance test could swing it Baez's way amid no reported injuries.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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