Roger Federer's 2022 retirement from professional tennis after the Laver Cup, driven by chronic right knee issues requiring multiple surgeries and limiting him to just one competitive match since Wimbledon 2021, underpins the overwhelming market consensus against a 2026 appearance. At age 44, the eight-time Wimbledon champion has confined recent activity to exhibition events and ceremonial roles, such as the Australian Open opening ceremony and a planned US Open tribute match, while explicitly ruling out Grand Slam or tour-level returns. No official scheduling, training updates, or retirement reversal signals have emerged ahead of the late-June fortnight. A last-minute competitive comeback remains theoretically possible but would require unprecedented developments inconsistent with his documented physical limitations and statements prioritizing family and non-competitive involvement in the sport.