PSG's Achraf Hakimi ruled out with a hamstring tear from the first-leg thriller—where hosts PSG edged Bayern 5-4 amid mutual defensive lapses—has tilted trader consensus toward Bayern at 57.5% implied probability for the Champions League semi-final second leg at Allianz Arena. Bayern's home strength, potent attack led by fit Harry Kane and Jamal Musiala, and ability to exploit PSG's weakened right flank outweigh their absences like Serge Gnabry's adductor injury and Raphaël Guerreiro's hamstring issue. PSG's 25% reflects competitive visitor potential from recent Ligue 1 form, but travel fatigue and transition vulnerabilities cap upside; draw at 18.5% suits a high-stakes, goal-filled tie.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 23, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 23, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...PSG's Achraf Hakimi ruled out with a hamstring tear from the first-leg thriller—where hosts PSG edged Bayern 5-4 amid mutual defensive lapses—has tilted trader consensus toward Bayern at 57.5% implied probability for the Champions League semi-final second leg at Allianz Arena. Bayern's home strength, potent attack led by fit Harry Kane and Jamal Musiala, and ability to exploit PSG's weakened right flank outweigh their absences like Serge Gnabry's adductor injury and Raphaël Guerreiro's hamstring issue. PSG's 25% reflects competitive visitor potential from recent Ligue 1 form, but travel fatigue and transition vulnerabilities cap upside; draw at 18.5% suits a high-stakes, goal-filled tie.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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