Bayern Munich enters the UEFA Champions League semi-final second leg at Allianz Arena as trader consensus favorite at 57.5% implied probability for a 90-minute win, buoyed by home advantage and PSG's confirmed absence of right-back Achraf Hakimi due to a hamstring tear suffered in the first leg's 5-4 thriller. The Bavarians, fresh off clinching the 2025/26 Bundesliga title with a dominant 26-4-1 record, boast attacking depth despite Serge Gnabry's season-ending adductor injury and other absences like Raphaël Guerreiro. PSG, Ligue 1 leaders and defending champions, hold a slim 5-4 aggregate lead but face defensive vulnerabilities without Hakimi's pace, pricing them at 25% with draw at 19.5% reflecting the high-scoring, competitive matchup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 23, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 23, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Bayern Munich enters the UEFA Champions League semi-final second leg at Allianz Arena as trader consensus favorite at 57.5% implied probability for a 90-minute win, buoyed by home advantage and PSG's confirmed absence of right-back Achraf Hakimi due to a hamstring tear suffered in the first leg's 5-4 thriller. The Bavarians, fresh off clinching the 2025/26 Bundesliga title with a dominant 26-4-1 record, boast attacking depth despite Serge Gnabry's season-ending adductor injury and other absences like Raphaël Guerreiro. PSG, Ligue 1 leaders and defending champions, hold a slim 5-4 aggregate lead but face defensive vulnerabilities without Hakimi's pace, pricing them at 25% with draw at 19.5% reflecting the high-scoring, competitive matchup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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