Recent ECB rate hikes, including the June 11, 2026, 25 basis point increase to a 2.25% deposit facility rate amid upwardly revised 3.0% 2026 inflation projections tied to energy costs and Middle East tensions, contrast with Fed expectations for further easing from the 3.50-3.75% funds rate. This narrowing yield differential supports euro strength, with EUR/USD trading near 1.156-1.16. Market-implied odds reflect trader focus on policy divergence, U.S. data releases, and geopolitical risk sentiment, though eurozone growth forecasts were trimmed to 0.8% for 2026. Key upcoming catalysts include the June FOMC meeting and U.S. CPI prints that could shift rate path expectations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$77,465 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ 1.40
7%
↑ 1.35
9%
↑ 1.30
19%
↑ 1.26
32%
↑ 1.24
35%
↑ 1.22
50%
↑ 1.20
62%
↓ 1.14
69%
↓ 1.12
27%
↓ 1.10
22%
↓ 1.05
3%
↓ 1.00
5%
$77,465 Vol.
↑ 1.40
$1,685 Vol.
7%
↑ 1.35
$1,048 Vol.
9%
↑ 1.30
$736 Vol.
19%
↑ 1.26
$2,892 Vol.
32%
↑ 1.24
$1,986 Vol.
35%
↑ 1.22
$320 Vol.
50%
↑ 1.20
$40,417 Vol.
62%
↓ 1.14
$5,827 Vol.
69%
↓ 1.12
$1,970 Vol.
27%
↓ 1.10
$3,188 Vol.
22%
↓ 1.05
$3,806 Vol.
3%
↓ 1.00
$3,730 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).Recent ECB rate hikes, including the June 11, 2026, 25 basis point increase to a 2.25% deposit facility rate amid upwardly revised 3.0% 2026 inflation projections tied to energy costs and Middle East tensions, contrast with Fed expectations for further easing from the 3.50-3.75% funds rate. This narrowing yield differential supports euro strength, with EUR/USD trading near 1.156-1.16. Market-implied odds reflect trader focus on policy divergence, U.S. data releases, and geopolitical risk sentiment, though eurozone growth forecasts were trimmed to 0.8% for 2026. Key upcoming catalysts include the June FOMC meeting and U.S. CPI prints that could shift rate path expectations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Market Opened: Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Volume
$77,465End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).Recent ECB rate hikes, including the June 11, 2026, 25 basis point increase to a 2.25% deposit facility rate amid upwardly revised 3.0% 2026 inflation projections tied to energy costs and Middle East tensions, contrast with Fed expectations for further easing from the 3.50-3.75% funds rate. This narrowing yield differential supports euro strength, with EUR/USD trading near 1.156-1.16. Market-implied odds reflect trader focus on policy divergence, U.S. data releases, and geopolitical risk sentiment, though eurozone growth forecasts were trimmed to 0.8% for 2026. Key upcoming catalysts include the June FOMC meeting and U.S. CPI prints that could shift rate path expectations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Volume
$77,465End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent ECB rate hikes, including the June 11, 2026, 25 basis point increase to a 2.25% deposit facility rate amid upwardly revised 3.0% 2026 inflation projections tied to energy costs and Middle East tensions, contrast with Fed expectations for further easing from the 3.50-3.75% funds rate. This narrowing yield differential supports euro strength, with EUR/USD trading near 1.156-1.16. Market-implied odds reflect trader focus on policy divergence, U.S. data releases, and geopolitical risk sentiment, though eurozone growth forecasts were trimmed to 0.8% for 2026. Key upcoming catalysts include the June FOMC meeting and U.S. CPI prints that could shift rate path expectations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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