Russian forces have conducted repeated assaults toward Shevchenko, a rural settlement northwest of Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast, throughout April 2026 but reported no confirmed advances into the village according to Institute for the Study of War assessments as of April 15. Ukrainian defenders have repelled these attacks amid broader Russian offensives aiming to encircle Pokrovsk, a key logistics hub, with positional fighting continuing without territorial gains in the past week. Trader consensus reflects significant barriers to entry, including fortified Ukrainian positions and spring mud hindering mechanized advances, though intensified airstrikes or reinforcements could shift dynamics ahead of the market's resolution based on ISW maps. No major diplomatic developments alter the frontline stalemate.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Rusia entrará en Shevchenko por...?
¿Rusia entrará en Shevchenko por...?
$37,990 Vol.
30 de abril
<1%
May 31
22%
June 30
36%
$37,990 Vol.
30 de abril
<1%
May 31
22%
June 30
36%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Apr 22, 2026, 1:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have conducted repeated assaults toward Shevchenko, a rural settlement northwest of Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast, throughout April 2026 but reported no confirmed advances into the village according to Institute for the Study of War assessments as of April 15. Ukrainian defenders have repelled these attacks amid broader Russian offensives aiming to encircle Pokrovsk, a key logistics hub, with positional fighting continuing without territorial gains in the past week. Trader consensus reflects significant barriers to entry, including fortified Ukrainian positions and spring mud hindering mechanized advances, though intensified airstrikes or reinforcements could shift dynamics ahead of the market's resolution based on ISW maps. No major diplomatic developments alter the frontline stalemate.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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