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icon for ¿Kamala Harris anunciará una candidatura a la presidencia para 2028 antes del 30 de junio?

¿Kamala Harris anunciará una candidatura a la presidencia para 2028 antes del 30 de junio?

icon for ¿Kamala Harris anunciará una candidatura a la presidencia para 2028 antes del 30 de junio?

¿Kamala Harris anunciará una candidatura a la presidencia para 2028 antes del 30 de junio?

7% probabilidad
Polymarket

$52,451 Vol.

7% probabilidad
Polymarket

$52,451 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris officially announces that she is running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by Kamala Harris will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed a nomination to run, or whether she actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Kamala Harris or her legal or social media representatives (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former Vice President Kamala Harris has not formally announced a 2028 presidential campaign despite coy signals of interest during her April 10 speech at the National Action Network convention, where she stated "I might" and affirmed she is "thinking about" another White House bid. This exploratory rhetoric, lacking campaign infrastructure, filings, or a launch event, drives the 93% trader consensus against an announcement by June 30, reflecting historical patterns where Democratic contenders often delay formal entries amid a crowded primary field featuring governors like Gavin Newsom and Josh Shapiro. No further developments in the past three weeks, including scheduled party events, have shifted sentiment, though a surprise filing or endorsement could alter odds before the deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris officially announces that she is running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by Kamala Harris will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed a nomination to run, or whether she actually files a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Kamala Harris or her legal or social media representatives (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$52,451
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 4:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris officially announces that she is running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by Kamala Harris will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed a nomination to run, or whether she actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Kamala Harris or her legal or social media representatives (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris officially announces that she is running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by Kamala Harris will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed a nomination to run, or whether she actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Kamala Harris or her legal or social media representatives (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former Vice President Kamala Harris has not formally announced a 2028 presidential campaign despite coy signals of interest during her April 10 speech at the National Action Network convention, where she stated "I might" and affirmed she is "thinking about" another White House bid. This exploratory rhetoric, lacking campaign infrastructure, filings, or a launch event, drives the 93% trader consensus against an announcement by June 30, reflecting historical patterns where Democratic contenders often delay formal entries amid a crowded primary field featuring governors like Gavin Newsom and Josh Shapiro. No further developments in the past three weeks, including scheduled party events, have shifted sentiment, though a surprise filing or endorsement could alter odds before the deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris officially announces that she is running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by Kamala Harris will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed a nomination to run, or whether she actually files a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Kamala Harris or her legal or social media representatives (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$52,451
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 4:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris officially announces that she is running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by Kamala Harris will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed a nomination to run, or whether she actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Kamala Harris or her legal or social media representatives (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Kamala Harris anunciará una candidatura a la presidencia para 2028 antes del 30 de junio?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Anunciará Kamala Harris su candidatura presidencial para 2028 antes del 30 de junio?" con 7%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 7¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 7% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Kamala Harris anunciará una candidatura a la presidencia para 2028 antes del 30 de junio?" ha generado $52.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 16, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Kamala Harris anunciará una candidatura a la presidencia para 2028 antes del 30 de junio?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Kamala Harris anunciará una candidatura a la presidencia para 2028 antes del 30 de junio?" es "¿Anunciará Kamala Harris su candidatura presidencial para 2028 antes del 30 de junio?" con solo 7%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Kamala Harris anunciará una candidatura a la presidencia para 2028 antes del 30 de junio?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.