Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 98.8% implied probability to "No" for Elon Musk buying Ryanair, driven by the absence of any substantive developments since Musk's January 2026 X posts joking about the acquisition amid a public spat with CEO Michael O'Leary over Starlink in-flight Wi-Fi antenna drag and costs. Ryanair dismissed the threat outright, citing EU regulations capping non-EU ownership at 49% of voting rights, while the airline's €30 billion market cap poses a massive distraction from Musk's core priorities at Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI. No regulatory filings, stake disclosures, or talks have emerged in the intervening months, solidifying near-certain skepticism. Realistic shifts could stem from an improbable surprise tender offer or partnership pivot, though antitrust scrutiny and O'Leary's resistance make intervention unlikely before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$3,263,492 Vol.
$3,263,492 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sí
$3,263,492 Vol.
$3,263,492 Vol.
30 jun 2026
On January 16, Elon Musk posted that buying Ryanair might be a "good idea." You can read more about that here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2012172825444913299
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity led or majority owned by him, enters into an agreement to buy Ryanair by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announced agreement between Elon Musk and Ryanair will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
An agreement to merge with a qualifying entity will count toward "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Elon Musk and Ryanair, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 98.8% implied probability to "No" for Elon Musk buying Ryanair, driven by the absence of any substantive developments since Musk's January 2026 X posts joking about the acquisition amid a public spat with CEO Michael O'Leary over Starlink in-flight Wi-Fi antenna drag and costs. Ryanair dismissed the threat outright, citing EU regulations capping non-EU ownership at 49% of voting rights, while the airline's €30 billion market cap poses a massive distraction from Musk's core priorities at Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI. No regulatory filings, stake disclosures, or talks have emerged in the intervening months, solidifying near-certain skepticism. Realistic shifts could stem from an improbable surprise tender offer or partnership pivot, though antitrust scrutiny and O'Leary's resistance make intervention unlikely before market resolution.
On January 16, Elon Musk posted that buying Ryanair might be a "good idea." You can read more about that here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2012172825444913299
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity led or majority owned by him, enters into an agreement to buy Ryanair by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announced agreement between Elon Musk and Ryanair will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
An agreement to merge with a qualifying entity will count toward "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Elon Musk and Ryanair, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity led or majority owned by him, enters into an agreement to buy Ryanair by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announced agreement between Elon Musk and Ryanair will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
An agreement to merge with a qualifying entity will count toward "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Elon Musk and Ryanair, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 16, 2026, 10:16 PM ET
Volumen
$3,263,492Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 16, 2026, 10:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On January 16, Elon Musk posted that buying Ryanair might be a "good idea." You can read more about that here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2012172825444913299
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity led or majority owned by him, enters into an agreement to buy Ryanair by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announced agreement between Elon Musk and Ryanair will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
An agreement to merge with a qualifying entity will count toward "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Elon Musk and Ryanair, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 98.8% implied probability to "No" for Elon Musk buying Ryanair, driven by the absence of any substantive developments since Musk's January 2026 X posts joking about the acquisition amid a public spat with CEO Michael O'Leary over Starlink in-flight Wi-Fi antenna drag and costs. Ryanair dismissed the threat outright, citing EU regulations capping non-EU ownership at 49% of voting rights, while the airline's €30 billion market cap poses a massive distraction from Musk's core priorities at Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI. No regulatory filings, stake disclosures, or talks have emerged in the intervening months, solidifying near-certain skepticism. Realistic shifts could stem from an improbable surprise tender offer or partnership pivot, though antitrust scrutiny and O'Leary's resistance make intervention unlikely before market resolution.
On January 16, Elon Musk posted that buying Ryanair might be a "good idea." You can read more about that here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2012172825444913299
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity led or majority owned by him, enters into an agreement to buy Ryanair by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announced agreement between Elon Musk and Ryanair will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
An agreement to merge with a qualifying entity will count toward "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Elon Musk and Ryanair, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity led or majority owned by him, enters into an agreement to buy Ryanair by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announced agreement between Elon Musk and Ryanair will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
An agreement to merge with a qualifying entity will count toward "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Elon Musk and Ryanair, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$3,263,492Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 16, 2026, 10:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 98.8% implied probability to "No" for Elon Musk buying Ryanair, driven by the absence of any substantive developments since Musk's January 2026 X posts joking about the acquisition amid a public spat with CEO Michael O'Leary over Starlink in-flight Wi-Fi antenna drag and costs. Ryanair dismissed the threat outright, citing EU regulations capping non-EU ownership at 49% of voting rights, while the airline's €30 billion market cap poses a massive distraction from Musk's core priorities at Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI. No regulatory filings, stake disclosures, or talks have emerged in the intervening months, solidifying near-certain skepticism. Realistic shifts could stem from an improbable surprise tender offer or partnership pivot, though antitrust scrutiny and O'Leary's resistance make intervention unlikely before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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