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icon for ¿Apple lanzará un iPhone plegable antes de 2027?

¿Apple lanzará un iPhone plegable antes de 2027?

icon for ¿Apple lanzará un iPhone plegable antes de 2027?

¿Apple lanzará un iPhone plegable antes de 2027?

87% probabilidad
Polymarket

$141,687 Vol.

87% probabilidad
Polymarket

$141,687 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Bloomberg reporting from analyst Mark Gurman, corroborated by supply chain leaks, confirms Apple's first foldable iPhone has entered trial production at Foxconn and stays on track for a September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro series, fueling the 86.5% market-implied probability for a pre-2027 release. Development milestones include a book-style design with a crease-free 7.8-inch inner display, titanium hinge, and premium "Ultra" branding above the Pro Max tier, reflecting years of hinge and display refinements to match competitors like Samsung Galaxy Z Fold. While unconfirmed by Apple, this aligns with Ming-Chi Kuo's prior timeline predictions and historical leak accuracy; traders watch for WWDC teases or supply updates, as engineering hurdles could prompt slips into early 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$141,687
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Bloomberg reporting from analyst Mark Gurman, corroborated by supply chain leaks, confirms Apple's first foldable iPhone has entered trial production at Foxconn and stays on track for a September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro series, fueling the 86.5% market-implied probability for a pre-2027 release. Development milestones include a book-style design with a crease-free 7.8-inch inner display, titanium hinge, and premium "Ultra" branding above the Pro Max tier, reflecting years of hinge and display refinements to match competitors like Samsung Galaxy Z Fold. While unconfirmed by Apple, this aligns with Ming-Chi Kuo's prior timeline predictions and historical leak accuracy; traders watch for WWDC teases or supply updates, as engineering hurdles could prompt slips into early 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$141,695
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Apple lanzará un iPhone plegable antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Lanzará Apple un iPhone plegable antes de 2027?" con 87%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 87¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 87% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Apple lanzará un iPhone plegable antes de 2027?" ha generado $141.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 12, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Apple lanzará un iPhone plegable antes de 2027?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Apple lanzará un iPhone plegable antes de 2027?" es "¿Lanzará Apple un iPhone plegable antes de 2027?" con 87%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 87% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Apple lanzará un iPhone plegable antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.