Trader sentiment on GPT-5.6 release timing reflects OpenAI’s accelerated post-GPT-5.5 cadence following the April 2026 launch, with a single Codex backend routing entry spotted in May fueling expectations of an imminent successor. Leaks highlighting expanded context windows and competitive pressure from rivals have concentrated implied probability on the June 22–28 window at 65.8 percent, as markets price in typical internal testing-to-public timelines of roughly six weeks. The modest 12.5 percent on June 15–21 and near-zero on the current week signal absence of official announcements or widespread deployment signals through mid-June, while the 18.3 percent on “not released by June 28” captures realistic slippage risks around final safety evaluations or capacity constraints. No confirmed public rollout has occurred as of June 14, leaving resolution dependent on OpenAI’s next developer update or API catalog change.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoJune 22–June 28 65.7%
Not released by June 28 19.3%
June 15–June 21 13%
June 8–June 14 <1%
$174,309 Vol.
$174,309 Vol.
28 jun 2026
June 8–June 14
<1%
June 15–June 21
13%
June 22–June 28
66%
Not released by June 28
19%
June 22–June 28 65.7%
Not released by June 28 19.3%
June 15–June 21 13%
June 8–June 14 <1%
$174,309 Vol.
$174,309 Vol.
28 jun 2026
June 8–June 14
$41,265 Vol.
<1%
June 15–June 21
$32,318 Vol.
13%
June 22–June 28
$24,586 Vol.
66%
Not released by June 28
$34,137 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment on GPT-5.6 release timing reflects OpenAI’s accelerated post-GPT-5.5 cadence following the April 2026 launch, with a single Codex backend routing entry spotted in May fueling expectations of an imminent successor. Leaks highlighting expanded context windows and competitive pressure from rivals have concentrated implied probability on the June 22–28 window at 65.8 percent, as markets price in typical internal testing-to-public timelines of roughly six weeks. The modest 12.5 percent on June 15–21 and near-zero on the current week signal absence of official announcements or widespread deployment signals through mid-June, while the 18.3 percent on “not released by June 28” captures realistic slippage risks around final safety evaluations or capacity constraints. No confirmed public rollout has occurred as of June 14, leaving resolution dependent on OpenAI’s next developer update or API catalog change.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Volumen
$174,309Fecha de finalización
28 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment on GPT-5.6 release timing reflects OpenAI’s accelerated post-GPT-5.5 cadence following the April 2026 launch, with a single Codex backend routing entry spotted in May fueling expectations of an imminent successor. Leaks highlighting expanded context windows and competitive pressure from rivals have concentrated implied probability on the June 22–28 window at 65.8 percent, as markets price in typical internal testing-to-public timelines of roughly six weeks. The modest 12.5 percent on June 15–21 and near-zero on the current week signal absence of official announcements or widespread deployment signals through mid-June, while the 18.3 percent on “not released by June 28” captures realistic slippage risks around final safety evaluations or capacity constraints. No confirmed public rollout has occurred as of June 14, leaving resolution dependent on OpenAI’s next developer update or API catalog change.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$174,309Fecha de finalización
28 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on GPT-5.6 release timing reflects OpenAI’s accelerated post-GPT-5.5 cadence following the April 2026 launch, with a single Codex backend routing entry spotted in May fueling expectations of an imminent successor. Leaks highlighting expanded context windows and competitive pressure from rivals have concentrated implied probability on the June 22–28 window at 65.8 percent, as markets price in typical internal testing-to-public timelines of roughly six weeks. The modest 12.5 percent on June 15–21 and near-zero on the current week signal absence of official announcements or widespread deployment signals through mid-June, while the 18.3 percent on “not released by June 28” captures realistic slippage risks around final safety evaluations or capacity constraints. No confirmed public rollout has occurred as of June 14, leaving resolution dependent on OpenAI’s next developer update or API catalog change.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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