Recent leaks in OpenAI’s Codex logs, combined with comments from chief scientist Jakub Pachocki describing GPT-5.6 as a meaningful step up from GPT-5.5 in efficiency and safety, have anchored trader expectations for a late-June launch. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 rollout has accelerated speculation that OpenAI aims to counter with a timely release and potential pricing adjustments. No official announcement or system card has appeared yet, leaving room for slips, but the absence of earlier-week confirmation keeps probabilities for June 8–21 minimal. Upcoming catalysts include any developer conference updates or API routing changes that could confirm or delay the window before June 28.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoJune 22–June 28 67.7%
Not released by June 28 21.9%
June 15–June 21 11%
June 8–June 14 <1%
$181,052 Vol.
$181,052 Vol.
28 jun 2026
June 8–June 14
<1%
June 15–June 21
11%
June 22–June 28
68%
Not released by June 28
22%
June 22–June 28 67.7%
Not released by June 28 21.9%
June 15–June 21 11%
June 8–June 14 <1%
$181,052 Vol.
$181,052 Vol.
28 jun 2026
June 8–June 14
$45,521 Vol.
<1%
June 15–June 21
$33,177 Vol.
11%
June 22–June 28
$25,151 Vol.
68%
Not released by June 28
$34,983 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent leaks in OpenAI’s Codex logs, combined with comments from chief scientist Jakub Pachocki describing GPT-5.6 as a meaningful step up from GPT-5.5 in efficiency and safety, have anchored trader expectations for a late-June launch. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 rollout has accelerated speculation that OpenAI aims to counter with a timely release and potential pricing adjustments. No official announcement or system card has appeared yet, leaving room for slips, but the absence of earlier-week confirmation keeps probabilities for June 8–21 minimal. Upcoming catalysts include any developer conference updates or API routing changes that could confirm or delay the window before June 28.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Volumen
$181,052Fecha de finalización
28 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent leaks in OpenAI’s Codex logs, combined with comments from chief scientist Jakub Pachocki describing GPT-5.6 as a meaningful step up from GPT-5.5 in efficiency and safety, have anchored trader expectations for a late-June launch. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 rollout has accelerated speculation that OpenAI aims to counter with a timely release and potential pricing adjustments. No official announcement or system card has appeared yet, leaving room for slips, but the absence of earlier-week confirmation keeps probabilities for June 8–21 minimal. Upcoming catalysts include any developer conference updates or API routing changes that could confirm or delay the window before June 28.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$181,052Fecha de finalización
28 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent leaks in OpenAI’s Codex logs, combined with comments from chief scientist Jakub Pachocki describing GPT-5.6 as a meaningful step up from GPT-5.5 in efficiency and safety, have anchored trader expectations for a late-June launch. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 rollout has accelerated speculation that OpenAI aims to counter with a timely release and potential pricing adjustments. No official announcement or system card has appeared yet, leaving room for slips, but the absence of earlier-week confirmation keeps probabilities for June 8–21 minimal. Upcoming catalysts include any developer conference updates or API routing changes that could confirm or delay the window before June 28.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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