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Política·HIELO

Ganador de las primarias republicanas OH-09

icon for Ganador de las primarias republicanas OH-09
Política·HIELO

Ganador de las primarias republicanas OH-09

Derek Merrin 85%

Josh Williams 15.0%

Madison Sheahan 2.6%

Alea Nadeem <1%

Polymarket

$19,232 Vol.

Derek Merrin 85%

Josh Williams 15.0%

Madison Sheahan 2.6%

Alea Nadeem <1%

Polymarket

$19,232 Vol.

Derek Merrin

$6,185 Vol.

85%

Josh Williams

$2,191 Vol.

15%

Madison Sheahan

$4,858 Vol.

3%

Alea Nadeem

$2,202 Vol.

<1%

Jacob Frost

$1,341 Vol.

<1%

Anthony Campbell

$1,316 Vol.

<1%

Wayne Kinsel

$1,138 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Derek Merrin's commanding 84.5% implied probability in the OH-09 Republican primary reflects his lead in the April JL Partners poll (33% among likely voters, with 40% undecided), bolstered by the National Republican Congressional Committee's endorsement and superior fundraising ($637,000 cash on hand). As the 2024 GOP nominee who narrowly lost to incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur, Merrin benefits from name recognition and Lucas County GOP support in the redrawn, more Republican-leaning district. Josh Williams trails at 15% on Jim Jordan's backing and grassroots endorsements from local sheriffs, but low funds hinder him. Recent scandals—smear site links for Merrin, resurfaced posts for Williams, misconduct claims for Madison Sheahan (3%)—emerged post-April 20 debate without derailing trader consensus ahead of the May 5 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$19,232
Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 10:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Derek Merrin's commanding 84.5% implied probability in the OH-09 Republican primary reflects his lead in the April JL Partners poll (33% among likely voters, with 40% undecided), bolstered by the National Republican Congressional Committee's endorsement and superior fundraising ($637,000 cash on hand). As the 2024 GOP nominee who narrowly lost to incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur, Merrin benefits from name recognition and Lucas County GOP support in the redrawn, more Republican-leaning district. Josh Williams trails at 15% on Jim Jordan's backing and grassroots endorsements from local sheriffs, but low funds hinder him. Recent scandals—smear site links for Merrin, resurfaced posts for Williams, misconduct claims for Madison Sheahan (3%)—emerged post-April 20 debate without derailing trader consensus ahead of the May 5 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$19,232
Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 10:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas OH-09" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Derek Merrin" con 85%, seguido de "Josh Williams" con 15%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 85¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 85% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias republicanas OH-09" ha generado $19.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 21, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias republicanas OH-09", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas OH-09" es "Derek Merrin" con 85%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 85% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Josh Williams" con 15%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas OH-09" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.