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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-13

icon for Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-13
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-13

Adriano Espaillat 70%

Darializa Avila Chevalier 30%

Oscar Romero <1%

Theo Chino-Tavarez <1%

Polymarket

$22,187 Vol.

Adriano Espaillat 70%

Darializa Avila Chevalier 30%

Oscar Romero <1%

Theo Chino-Tavarez <1%

Polymarket

$22,187 Vol.

Adriano Espaillat

$5,339 Vol.

70%

Darializa Avila Chevalier

$2,730 Vol.

30%

Oscar Romero

$5,203 Vol.

1%

Theo Chino-Tavarez

$1,890 Vol.

<1%

Megan Rodriguez

$2,042 Vol.

<1%

Jaleel Amador

$934 Vol.

<1%

James Felton Keith

$2,195 Vol.

<1%

Matt Miller

$1,855 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Trader consensus favors incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat at 70% implied probability to win the NY-13 Democratic primary on June 23, reflecting his incumbency advantage, fundraising lead exceeding $1.1 million, and established support among Latino voters in the Upper Manhattan-Bronx district.** Challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier, at 30%, has gained progressive traction via DSA targeting, Justice Democrats spending, and Sunrise Movement endorsement, bolstered by her April 20 internal poll showing soft Espaillat support (42-28% initially, flipping to 46-35% post-messaging). However, recent May 3 reporting on her donations linked to protests and ICE monitoring has capped her momentum, with traders discounting the internal poll amid a closed primary favoring name recognition. Other candidates trail far behind due to limited resources and visibility; upcoming early voting could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$22,187
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Trader consensus favors incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat at 70% implied probability to win the NY-13 Democratic primary on June 23, reflecting his incumbency advantage, fundraising lead exceeding $1.1 million, and established support among Latino voters in the Upper Manhattan-Bronx district.** Challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier, at 30%, has gained progressive traction via DSA targeting, Justice Democrats spending, and Sunrise Movement endorsement, bolstered by her April 20 internal poll showing soft Espaillat support (42-28% initially, flipping to 46-35% post-messaging). However, recent May 3 reporting on her donations linked to protests and ICE monitoring has capped her momentum, with traders discounting the internal poll amid a closed primary favoring name recognition. Other candidates trail far behind due to limited resources and visibility; upcoming early voting could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$22,187
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-13" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Adriano Espaillat" con 70%, seguido de "Darializa Avila Chevalier" con 30%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 70¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 70% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-13" ha generado $22.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 19, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-13", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-13" es "Adriano Espaillat" con 70%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 70% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Darializa Avila Chevalier" con 30%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-13" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.