Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat holds a commanding 70% trader consensus in the NY-13 Democratic primary set for June 23, reflecting incumbency advantages, strong union backing like District Council 37's March endorsement, and fundraising leads in the Upper Manhattan-Bronx district. Challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier, a DSA-endorsed democratic socialist organizer, has gained traction to 29.5% following her campaign's April 20 internal poll showing Espaillat at 42% with soft support—dropping to 35% after messaging on her housing and progressive priorities—alongside an Upswing Research survey from late March echoing the 42-28% gap. Recent ballot challenges among campaigns add procedural uncertainty, but no major shifts like endorsements from figures such as Zohran Mamdani have emerged, sustaining Espaillat's edge ahead of early voting starting June 13.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAdriano Espaillat 70%
Darializa Avila Chevalier 28%
Oscar Romero <1%
Theo Chino-Tavarez <1%
$24,596 Vol.
$24,596 Vol.
Adriano Espaillat
70%
Darializa Avila Chevalier
28%
Oscar Romero
1%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
<1%
Jaleel Amador
<1%
James Felton Keith
<1%
Matt Miller
<1%
Megan Rodriguez
<1%
Adriano Espaillat 70%
Darializa Avila Chevalier 28%
Oscar Romero <1%
Theo Chino-Tavarez <1%
$24,596 Vol.
$24,596 Vol.
Adriano Espaillat
70%
Darializa Avila Chevalier
28%
Oscar Romero
1%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
<1%
Jaleel Amador
<1%
James Felton Keith
<1%
Matt Miller
<1%
Megan Rodriguez
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat holds a commanding 70% trader consensus in the NY-13 Democratic primary set for June 23, reflecting incumbency advantages, strong union backing like District Council 37's March endorsement, and fundraising leads in the Upper Manhattan-Bronx district. Challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier, a DSA-endorsed democratic socialist organizer, has gained traction to 29.5% following her campaign's April 20 internal poll showing Espaillat at 42% with soft support—dropping to 35% after messaging on her housing and progressive priorities—alongside an Upswing Research survey from late March echoing the 42-28% gap. Recent ballot challenges among campaigns add procedural uncertainty, but no major shifts like endorsements from figures such as Zohran Mamdani have emerged, sustaining Espaillat's edge ahead of early voting starting June 13.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes