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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Maine

icon for Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Maine
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Maine

Nirav Shah 39%

Troy Jackson 31%

Hannah Pingree 22%

Shenna Bellows 8.0%

Polymarket

$53,470 Vol.

Nirav Shah 39%

Troy Jackson 31%

Hannah Pingree 22%

Shenna Bellows 8.0%

Polymarket

$53,470 Vol.

Nirav Shah

$8,062 Vol.

39%

Troy Jackson

$8,118 Vol.

31%

Hannah Pingree

$4,950 Vol.

22%

Shenna Bellows

$5,290 Vol.

8%

Angus King III

$4,230 Vol.

5%

Jason Cherry

$19,299 Vol.

<1%

Kenneth Pinet

$3,521 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Nirav Shah at 39% implied probability to win Maine's open Democratic gubernatorial primary on June 9, driven by his consistent first-round leads in recent polls—such as 31% in March Impact Research (Shah +13 over nearest rival), 25% in February UNH Pine Tree State Poll amid 23% undecideds, and 35% in January Hart Research—bolstered by name recognition from directing the Maine CDC during COVID-19. Troy Jackson holds 30% on labor ties and recent MSEU SEIU endorsement, Hannah Pingree 21.5% on legislative experience, with Shenna Bellows at 8.5%. The race stays tight in this fragmented field under ranked-choice voting, where second- and third-choice rankings could consolidate support; Sierra Club backing for Jackson, Pingree, and Bellows adds momentum, while upcoming debates and forums may create separation through standout policy pitches or gaffes.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$53,470
Fecha de finalización
9 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 10, 2025, 7:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Nirav Shah at 39% implied probability to win Maine's open Democratic gubernatorial primary on June 9, driven by his consistent first-round leads in recent polls—such as 31% in March Impact Research (Shah +13 over nearest rival), 25% in February UNH Pine Tree State Poll amid 23% undecideds, and 35% in January Hart Research—bolstered by name recognition from directing the Maine CDC during COVID-19. Troy Jackson holds 30% on labor ties and recent MSEU SEIU endorsement, Hannah Pingree 21.5% on legislative experience, with Shenna Bellows at 8.5%. The race stays tight in this fragmented field under ranked-choice voting, where second- and third-choice rankings could consolidate support; Sierra Club backing for Jackson, Pingree, and Bellows adds momentum, while upcoming debates and forums may create separation through standout policy pitches or gaffes.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$53,470
Fecha de finalización
9 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 10, 2025, 7:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Maine" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Nirav Shah" con 39%, seguido de "Troy Jackson" con 31%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 39¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 39% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Maine" ha generado $53.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Maine", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Maine" es "Nirav Shah" con 39%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 39% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Troy Jackson" con 31%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Maine" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.