State Sen. Eric Pratt's commanding 86% implied probability in the MN-02 Republican primary stems from Tyler Kistner's withdrawal on April 15, 2026, due to impending military deployment as a U.S. Marine Corps Reserve officer, leaving Pratt as the sole major GOP contender ahead of the August 11 primary. This development, occurring just before the Second District Republican Party's May 2 endorsing convention, has consolidated trader consensus around the four-term lawmaker from Prior Lake, who launched his bid in July 2025 emphasizing conservative priorities. Kistner's 0.9% share reflects minimal expectations for a write-in or late entry, though unopposed status could shift with any eleventh-hour challengers or convention surprises in this open-seat race vacated by Rep. Angie Craig's Senate bid.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$18,710 Vol.
$18,710 Vol.
11 ago 2026
Eric Pratt
86%
Tyler Kistner
1%
$18,710 Vol.
$18,710 Vol.
11 ago 2026
Eric Pratt
$3,008 Vol.
86%
Tyler Kistner
$15,702 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Sen. Eric Pratt's commanding 86% implied probability in the MN-02 Republican primary stems from Tyler Kistner's withdrawal on April 15, 2026, due to impending military deployment as a U.S. Marine Corps Reserve officer, leaving Pratt as the sole major GOP contender ahead of the August 11 primary. This development, occurring just before the Second District Republican Party's May 2 endorsing convention, has consolidated trader consensus around the four-term lawmaker from Prior Lake, who launched his bid in July 2025 emphasizing conservative priorities. Kistner's 0.9% share reflects minimal expectations for a write-in or late entry, though unopposed status could shift with any eleventh-hour challengers or convention surprises in this open-seat race vacated by Rep. Angie Craig's Senate bid.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Volumen
$18,710Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Sen. Eric Pratt's commanding 86% implied probability in the MN-02 Republican primary stems from Tyler Kistner's withdrawal on April 15, 2026, due to impending military deployment as a U.S. Marine Corps Reserve officer, leaving Pratt as the sole major GOP contender ahead of the August 11 primary. This development, occurring just before the Second District Republican Party's May 2 endorsing convention, has consolidated trader consensus around the four-term lawmaker from Prior Lake, who launched his bid in July 2025 emphasizing conservative priorities. Kistner's 0.9% share reflects minimal expectations for a write-in or late entry, though unopposed status could shift with any eleventh-hour challengers or convention surprises in this open-seat race vacated by Rep. Angie Craig's Senate bid.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$18,710Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...State Sen. Eric Pratt's commanding 86% implied probability in the MN-02 Republican primary stems from Tyler Kistner's withdrawal on April 15, 2026, due to impending military deployment as a U.S. Marine Corps Reserve officer, leaving Pratt as the sole major GOP contender ahead of the August 11 primary. This development, occurring just before the Second District Republican Party's May 2 endorsing convention, has consolidated trader consensus around the four-term lawmaker from Prior Lake, who launched his bid in July 2025 emphasizing conservative priorities. Kistner's 0.9% share reflects minimal expectations for a write-in or late entry, though unopposed status could shift with any eleventh-hour challengers or convention surprises in this open-seat race vacated by Rep. Angie Craig's Senate bid.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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