With Oregon's May 19 Republican U.S. Senate primary just over two weeks away, trader consensus narrowly favors state Sen. David Brock Smith at 50.5% over Jo Rae Perkins at 42% in a fragmented field of seven candidates challenging Democratic incumbent Jeff Merkley. Smith's recent endorsement by the Taxpayers Association of Oregon on April 29, praising his consistent anti-tax votes, has boosted his momentum after an early April poll showed Perkins leading; Oregon Right to Life PAC backing adds social conservative appeal. The race stays tight due to GOP base splits—Smith's legislative experience drawing establishment support, Perkins' activist following from prior runs—amid low-information vote-by-mail balloting and no public polls since early April. Late endorsements, fundraising disclosures, or turnout among rural voters could tip the balance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoDavid Brock Smith 50.5%
Jo Rae Perkins 39%
Russell McAlmond 5.1%
Joe Johnson 2.0%
$79,654 Vol.
$79,654 Vol.
David Brock Smith
51%
Jo Rae Perkins
39%
Russell McAlmond
5%
Joe Johnson
2%
David Burch
2%
Douglas T. Muck Jr.
1%
Tim Skelton
1%
Deborah C. Brown
1%
Brent Barker
<1%
David Brock Smith 50.5%
Jo Rae Perkins 39%
Russell McAlmond 5.1%
Joe Johnson 2.0%
$79,654 Vol.
$79,654 Vol.
David Brock Smith
51%
Jo Rae Perkins
39%
Russell McAlmond
5%
Joe Johnson
2%
David Burch
2%
Douglas T. Muck Jr.
1%
Tim Skelton
1%
Deborah C. Brown
1%
Brent Barker
<1%
If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...With Oregon's May 19 Republican U.S. Senate primary just over two weeks away, trader consensus narrowly favors state Sen. David Brock Smith at 50.5% over Jo Rae Perkins at 42% in a fragmented field of seven candidates challenging Democratic incumbent Jeff Merkley. Smith's recent endorsement by the Taxpayers Association of Oregon on April 29, praising his consistent anti-tax votes, has boosted his momentum after an early April poll showed Perkins leading; Oregon Right to Life PAC backing adds social conservative appeal. The race stays tight due to GOP base splits—Smith's legislative experience drawing establishment support, Perkins' activist following from prior runs—amid low-information vote-by-mail balloting and no public polls since early April. Late endorsements, fundraising disclosures, or turnout among rural voters could tip the balance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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