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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del MI-10

icon for Ganador de las primarias republicanas del MI-10
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del MI-10

Mike Bouchard 64%

Robert Lulgjuraj 30.2%

Justin Kirk 10.2%

Casey Armitage 8%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Mike Bouchard 64%

Robert Lulgjuraj 30.2%

Justin Kirk 10.2%

Casey Armitage 8%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Mike Bouchard

$2,095 Vol.

64%

Robert Lulgjuraj

$2,097 Vol.

30%

Justin Kirk

$828 Vol.

10%

Casey Armitage

$2,318 Vol.

8%

Steven Elliott

$1,760 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mike Bouchard's commanding 63% implied probability in the MI-10 Republican primary stems from his April 15 federal filings revealing the highest cash on hand at $847,000 through March 31, surpassing Robert Lulgjuraj's $822,000 and signaling superior resources for the August 4 open primary contest left by Rep. John James's gubernatorial run. Bouchard's Army veteran background, name recognition via Oakland County Sheriff father, and endorsements from Macomb Prosecutor Pete Lucido and ex-GOP chair Bobby Schostak enhance his crossover appeal across Macomb-Oakland. Lulgjuraj holds strong Macomb grassroots support from state reps and commissioners but trails financially, while Justin Kirk, Casey Armitage, and Steven Elliott lag in funds and visibility, per trader consensus ahead of petition challenges concluded April 28.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$9,097
Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mike Bouchard's commanding 63% implied probability in the MI-10 Republican primary stems from his April 15 federal filings revealing the highest cash on hand at $847,000 through March 31, surpassing Robert Lulgjuraj's $822,000 and signaling superior resources for the August 4 open primary contest left by Rep. John James's gubernatorial run. Bouchard's Army veteran background, name recognition via Oakland County Sheriff father, and endorsements from Macomb Prosecutor Pete Lucido and ex-GOP chair Bobby Schostak enhance his crossover appeal across Macomb-Oakland. Lulgjuraj holds strong Macomb grassroots support from state reps and commissioners but trails financially, while Justin Kirk, Casey Armitage, and Steven Elliott lag in funds and visibility, per trader consensus ahead of petition challenges concluded April 28.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$9,097
Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del MI-10" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Mike Bouchard" con 64%, seguido de "Robert Lulgjuraj" con 30%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 64¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 64% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del MI-10" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Dec 18, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del MI-10", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del MI-10" es "Mike Bouchard" con 64%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 64% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Robert Lulgjuraj" con 30%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del MI-10" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.