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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del MI-10

icon for Ganador de las primarias demócratas del MI-10
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del MI-10

Tim Greimel 29%

Christina Hines 18%

Tripp Adams 1.1%

Brian Jaye <1%

Polymarket

$42,464 Vol.

Tim Greimel 29%

Christina Hines 18%

Tripp Adams 1.1%

Brian Jaye <1%

Polymarket

$42,464 Vol.

Tim Greimel

$30,197 Vol.

34%

Christina Hines

$3,053 Vol.

34%

Tripp Adams

$2,892 Vol.

1%

Brian Jaye

$2,540 Vol.

<1%

Eric Chung

$3,783 Vol.

46%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.A recent internal poll released April 30 shows Christina Hines leading Michigan's 10th Congressional District Democratic primary at 30% initially (53% informed ballot) over Eric Chung (13-22%) and Tim Greimel (7-14%), with 50% undecided among likely voters, reflecting trader consensus pricing Hines at 44%, Chung at 40%, and Greimel at 32% for the August 4 contest. No dominant frontrunner has emerged in this open seat race—vacated by Rep. John James' gubernatorial bid—in a Trump-won battleground district targeted by national Democrats, as Q1 fundraising reports highlight Chung's lead ($1.47 million raised, $931,000 cash on hand) ahead of Greimel ($1.05 million, $634,000) and Hines ($884,000, $312,000). Upcoming independent polls, major endorsements, candidate forums, or Q2 finance filings could tip the balance in this fluid three-way primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$42,464
Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.A recent internal poll released April 30 shows Christina Hines leading Michigan's 10th Congressional District Democratic primary at 30% initially (53% informed ballot) over Eric Chung (13-22%) and Tim Greimel (7-14%), with 50% undecided among likely voters, reflecting trader consensus pricing Hines at 44%, Chung at 40%, and Greimel at 32% for the August 4 contest. No dominant frontrunner has emerged in this open seat race—vacated by Rep. John James' gubernatorial bid—in a Trump-won battleground district targeted by national Democrats, as Q1 fundraising reports highlight Chung's lead ($1.47 million raised, $931,000 cash on hand) ahead of Greimel ($1.05 million, $634,000) and Hines ($884,000, $312,000). Upcoming independent polls, major endorsements, candidate forums, or Q2 finance filings could tip the balance in this fluid three-way primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$42,464
Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas del MI-10" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Eric Chung" con 46%, seguido de "Tim Greimel" con 34%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 46¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 46% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del MI-10" ha generado $42.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 25, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del MI-10", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del MI-10" es "Eric Chung" con 46%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 46% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Tim Greimel" con 34%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del MI-10" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.