Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance indicate Paris will reach a daily maximum near 21–23 °C on 6 June under a mix of cloud and scattered showers, keeping trader focus tightly split between the 21 °C and 22 °C contracts. Southerly flow ahead of an Atlantic front supplies mild air, yet limited insolation and evaporative cooling from rain suppress peak readings below seasonal norms. Minor differences in forecast timing of any clearing or shower intensity create the narrow spread in implied probabilities, with resolution hinging on official observations rather than model output.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on June 6?
22°C 48%
21°C 41%
20°C 7%
23°C 5.1%
$38,879 Vol.
$38,879 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
7%
21°C
41%
22°C
48%
23°C
5%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
22°C 48%
21°C 41%
20°C 7%
23°C 5.1%
$38,879 Vol.
$38,879 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
7%
21°C
41%
22°C
48%
23°C
5%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance indicate Paris will reach a daily maximum near 21–23 °C on 6 June under a mix of cloud and scattered showers, keeping trader focus tightly split between the 21 °C and 22 °C contracts. Southerly flow ahead of an Atlantic front supplies mild air, yet limited insolation and evaporative cooling from rain suppress peak readings below seasonal norms. Minor differences in forecast timing of any clearing or shower intensity create the narrow spread in implied probabilities, with resolution hinging on official observations rather than model output.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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