Latest meteorological forecasts from models feeding into official observations at Istanbul Airport point to a daily maximum temperature settling between 23°C and 24°C under typical early-summer conditions, with light winds and moderate humidity keeping peaks tightly clustered. Regional sea-breeze effects from the Bosphorus and Black Sea moderate daytime heating compared to inland areas, while clear skies and seasonal solar insolation support gradual warming without extremes. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, as small shifts in afternoon thermal mixing or cloud cover can alter the precise high by 1°C. Historical June averages near 25°C provide baseline context, though current guidance shows slightly cooler-than-normal flow. Updated station readings through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 6?
24°C 38%
23°C 34%
25°C 18%
22°C 9.4%
$40,569 Vol.
$40,569 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
9%
23°C
34%
24°C
38%
25°C
18%
26°C
8%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 38%
23°C 34%
25°C 18%
22°C 9.4%
$40,569 Vol.
$40,569 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
9%
23°C
34%
24°C
38%
25°C
18%
26°C
8%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 5, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological forecasts from models feeding into official observations at Istanbul Airport point to a daily maximum temperature settling between 23°C and 24°C under typical early-summer conditions, with light winds and moderate humidity keeping peaks tightly clustered. Regional sea-breeze effects from the Bosphorus and Black Sea moderate daytime heating compared to inland areas, while clear skies and seasonal solar insolation support gradual warming without extremes. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, as small shifts in afternoon thermal mixing or cloud cover can alter the precise high by 1°C. Historical June averages near 25°C provide baseline context, though current guidance shows slightly cooler-than-normal flow. Updated station readings through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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