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Elecciones·Primarias

GA-08 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

icon for GA-08 Ganador de las primarias republicanas
Elecciones·Primarias

GA-08 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

NUEVO
Polymarket
NUEVO

Austin Scott

$2,920 Vol.

90%

Vinson Watkins

$908 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Austin Scott holds a commanding lead in the GA-08 Republican primary market at 90.5% implied probability, reflecting his unopposed status after the March 6 filing deadline, with sole challenger Vinson Watkins having withdrawn or been disqualified. As the longest-serving Georgia Republican in Congress since 2011, Scott benefits from incumbency advantages, robust fundraising with $1.3 million cash on hand as of late March, and a solidly Republican district (R+15 partisan voter index). Recent reporting, including an April 24 Atlanta Journal-Constitution article, confirmed no primary opposition remains ahead of the May 19 contest. Trader consensus prices in near-certainty of Scott's nomination, though low-probability scenarios like a late Scott withdrawal, scandal, or viable write-in effort could shift odds.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$3,827
Fecha de finalización
19 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 26, 2026, 5:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Austin Scott holds a commanding lead in the GA-08 Republican primary market at 90.5% implied probability, reflecting his unopposed status after the March 6 filing deadline, with sole challenger Vinson Watkins having withdrawn or been disqualified. As the longest-serving Georgia Republican in Congress since 2011, Scott benefits from incumbency advantages, robust fundraising with $1.3 million cash on hand as of late March, and a solidly Republican district (R+15 partisan voter index). Recent reporting, including an April 24 Atlanta Journal-Constitution article, confirmed no primary opposition remains ahead of the May 19 contest. Trader consensus prices in near-certainty of Scott's nomination, though low-probability scenarios like a late Scott withdrawal, scandal, or viable write-in effort could shift odds.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$3,827
Fecha de finalización
19 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 26, 2026, 5:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"GA-08 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Austin Scott" con 90%, seguido de "Vinson Watkins" con 6%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 90¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 90% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"GA-08 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Feb 26, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "GA-08 Ganador de las primarias republicanas", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "GA-08 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es "Austin Scott" con 90%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 90% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Vinson Watkins" con 6%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "GA-08 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.