Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's May 2026 X posts in the 1080-1119 range at an 11% implied probability, closely trailed by 1160-1199 (10.1%) and 1000-1039 (9.4%), reflecting his April total of 1040-1079 posts—averaging ~35 daily amid steady political commentary, Starlink expansions, and NASA moon base endorsements. This fragmented leaderboard underscores competitive dynamics driven by Elon's event-responsive posting: spikes from viral moments like the May 5 X advertising upgrade or SpaceX catalysts could push toward 1200+, while quieter periods risk dipping below 1000. With 31 days ahead, public sentiment hinges on breaking news trajectories and his cultural dominance in real-time discourse.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado1080-1119 11.0%
1000-1039 10.1%
1160-1199 10.1%
1040-1079 7.4%
$511,960 Vol.
$511,960 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
1%
640-659
1%
660-679
1%
680-699
1%
700-719
1%
720-739
1%
740-759
1%
760-779
1%
780-799
2%
800-839
4%
840-879
3%
880-919
4%
920-959
5%
960-999
5%
1000-1039
10%
1040-1079
7%
1080-1119
11%
1120-1159
7%
1160-1199
10%
1200-1239
6%
1240-1279
5%
1280-1319
4%
1320-1359
5%
1360-1399
2%
1400-1439
3%
1440-1479
2%
1480-1519
2%
1520-1559
2%
1560-1599
1%
1600-1679
1%
1680-1759
1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
1080-1119 11.0%
1000-1039 10.1%
1160-1199 10.1%
1040-1079 7.4%
$511,960 Vol.
$511,960 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
1%
640-659
1%
660-679
1%
680-699
1%
700-719
1%
720-739
1%
740-759
1%
760-779
1%
780-799
2%
800-839
4%
840-879
3%
880-919
4%
920-959
5%
960-999
5%
1000-1039
10%
1040-1079
7%
1080-1119
11%
1120-1159
7%
1160-1199
10%
1200-1239
6%
1240-1279
5%
1280-1319
4%
1320-1359
5%
1360-1399
2%
1400-1439
3%
1440-1479
2%
1480-1519
2%
1520-1559
2%
1560-1599
1%
1600-1679
1%
1680-1759
1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's May 2026 X posts in the 1080-1119 range at an 11% implied probability, closely trailed by 1160-1199 (10.1%) and 1000-1039 (9.4%), reflecting his April total of 1040-1079 posts—averaging ~35 daily amid steady political commentary, Starlink expansions, and NASA moon base endorsements. This fragmented leaderboard underscores competitive dynamics driven by Elon's event-responsive posting: spikes from viral moments like the May 5 X advertising upgrade or SpaceX catalysts could push toward 1200+, while quieter periods risk dipping below 1000. With 31 days ahead, public sentiment hinges on breaking news trajectories and his cultural dominance in real-time discourse.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes