Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 48.5% probability for Elon Musk posting 40-64 times on X from April 30 to May 2, reflecting his recent daily average of 23 posts tracked over the April 24-May 1 period (158 total), down from March's 42 per day amid a broader slowdown in viral engagement. Yesterday's 30 posts align with this moderate pace, but no major catalysts—like SpaceX launches or political controversies—have emerged in the last 24 hours to drive a surge, positioning <40 (25.5%) as a close second for potential weekend lulls. Higher buckets trail due to absent high-engagement triggers, though unexpected announcements could shift sentiment rapidly before May 2's close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado40-64 51%
65-89 21%
Menos de 40 20%
90-114 4.1%
$414,903 Vol.
$414,903 Vol.
2 may 2026
Menos de 40
20%
40-64
51%
65-89
21%
90-114
4%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
Más de 240
<1%
40-64 51%
65-89 21%
Menos de 40 20%
90-114 4.1%
$414,903 Vol.
$414,903 Vol.
2 may 2026
Menos de 40
$65,563 Vol.
20%
40-64
$29,608 Vol.
51%
65-89
$27,674 Vol.
21%
90-114
$42,352 Vol.
4%
115-139
$30,595 Vol.
1%
140-164
$23,402 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$30,529 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$75,182 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$48,515 Vol.
<1%
Más de 240
$44,209 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 30 12:00 PM ET to May 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 48.5% probability for Elon Musk posting 40-64 times on X from April 30 to May 2, reflecting his recent daily average of 23 posts tracked over the April 24-May 1 period (158 total), down from March's 42 per day amid a broader slowdown in viral engagement. Yesterday's 30 posts align with this moderate pace, but no major catalysts—like SpaceX launches or political controversies—have emerged in the last 24 hours to drive a surge, positioning <40 (25.5%) as a close second for potential weekend lulls. Higher buckets trail due to absent high-engagement triggers, though unexpected announcements could shift sentiment rapidly before May 2's close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 30 12:00 PM ET to May 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Apr 27, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volumen
$414,903Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 30 12:00 PM ET to May 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 48.5% probability for Elon Musk posting 40-64 times on X from April 30 to May 2, reflecting his recent daily average of 23 posts tracked over the April 24-May 1 period (158 total), down from March's 42 per day amid a broader slowdown in viral engagement. Yesterday's 30 posts align with this moderate pace, but no major catalysts—like SpaceX launches or political controversies—have emerged in the last 24 hours to drive a surge, positioning <40 (25.5%) as a close second for potential weekend lulls. Higher buckets trail due to absent high-engagement triggers, though unexpected announcements could shift sentiment rapidly before May 2's close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 30 12:00 PM ET to May 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$414,903Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 48.5% probability for Elon Musk posting 40-64 times on X from April 30 to May 2, reflecting his recent daily average of 23 posts tracked over the April 24-May 1 period (158 total), down from March's 42 per day amid a broader slowdown in viral engagement. Yesterday's 30 posts align with this moderate pace, but no major catalysts—like SpaceX launches or political controversies—have emerged in the last 24 hours to drive a surge, positioning <40 (25.5%) as a close second for potential weekend lulls. Higher buckets trail due to absent high-engagement triggers, though unexpected announcements could shift sentiment rapidly before May 2's close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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