Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 1040-1079 tweets containing "musk" during April 2026, driven by the month's conclusion on April 30 and real-time verification from his X account (@elonmusk), confirming the exact tally falls squarely in this bin. This aligns with Musk's moderated late-month pace of 25-28 daily posts—down from March's 37-per-day average amid high-profile distractions like SpaceX launches and political buzz—yielding a steady ~35 tweets/day with self-references. Strong consensus reflects the wisdom of crowds in aggregating public X data, with historical weekly markets accurately forecasting similar trajectories. Realistic upsets are negligible, limited to oracle disputes over tweet counting methodology (e.g., replies, retweets, or case sensitivity), though Polymarket's transparent resolution rules make this highly improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado1040-1079 100.0%
$12,928,851 Vol.
$12,928,851 Vol.
1 may 2026
1040-1079
100%
1040-1079 100.0%
$12,928,851 Vol.
$12,928,851 Vol.
1 may 2026
1040-1079
$466,610 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 1040-1079 tweets containing "musk" during April 2026, driven by the month's conclusion on April 30 and real-time verification from his X account (@elonmusk), confirming the exact tally falls squarely in this bin. This aligns with Musk's moderated late-month pace of 25-28 daily posts—down from March's 37-per-day average amid high-profile distractions like SpaceX launches and political buzz—yielding a steady ~35 tweets/day with self-references. Strong consensus reflects the wisdom of crowds in aggregating public X data, with historical weekly markets accurately forecasting similar trajectories. Realistic upsets are negligible, limited to oracle disputes over tweet counting methodology (e.g., replies, retweets, or case sensitivity), though Polymarket's transparent resolution rules make this highly improbable.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$12,928,851Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 1040-1079 tweets containing "musk" during April 2026, driven by the month's conclusion on April 30 and real-time verification from his X account (@elonmusk), confirming the exact tally falls squarely in this bin. This aligns with Musk's moderated late-month pace of 25-28 daily posts—down from March's 37-per-day average amid high-profile distractions like SpaceX launches and political buzz—yielding a steady ~35 tweets/day with self-references. Strong consensus reflects the wisdom of crowds in aggregating public X data, with historical weekly markets accurately forecasting similar trajectories. Realistic upsets are negligible, limited to oracle disputes over tweet counting methodology (e.g., replies, retweets, or case sensitivity), though Polymarket's transparent resolution rules make this highly improbable.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$12,928,851Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 1040-1079 tweets containing "musk" during April 2026, driven by the month's conclusion on April 30 and real-time verification from his X account (@elonmusk), confirming the exact tally falls squarely in this bin. This aligns with Musk's moderated late-month pace of 25-28 daily posts—down from March's 37-per-day average amid high-profile distractions like SpaceX launches and political buzz—yielding a steady ~35 tweets/day with self-references. Strong consensus reflects the wisdom of crowds in aggregating public X data, with historical weekly markets accurately forecasting similar trajectories. Realistic upsets are negligible, limited to oracle disputes over tweet counting methodology (e.g., replies, retweets, or case sensitivity), though Polymarket's transparent resolution rules make this highly improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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