Skip to main content
icon for CA-14 Primary Winners
Elecciones·June 2 Primaries

CA-14 Primary Winners

icon for CA-14 Primary Winners
Elecciones·June 2 Primaries

CA-14 Primary Winners

$7,275 Vol.

2 jun 2026
Polymarket

$7,275 Vol.

Polymarket

Aisha Wahab

$896 Vol.

100%

Suzanne Chenault

$640 Vol.

4%

Carin Elam

$926 Vol.

4%

Wendy Huang

$1,090 Vol.

2%

Matt Ortega

$1,186 Vol.

2%

Victor Aguilar Jr.

$491 Vol.

1%

Rakhi Israni Singh

$1,520 Vol.

<1%

Melissa Hernandez

$528 Vol.

61%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Aisha Wahab's strong performance in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California's 14th congressional district, where she captured roughly 38% of the vote ahead of Melissa Hernandez at 17%, has shaped trader views on advancement patterns in the overlapping special primary scheduled for June 16. The open seat, created by Eric Swalwell's April resignation amid misconduct allegations, features a crowded Democratic field including state Sen. Wahab, who secured her party's endorsement, alongside BART board president Hernandez and several Republican and other Democratic challengers. California's nonpartisan primary rules mean the top two vote-getters advance regardless of party, with the special election general on August 18; recent vote shares and party endorsement dynamics indicate limited crossover potential in this heavily Democratic East Bay district.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$7,275
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
May 21, 2026, 6:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Aisha Wahab's strong performance in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California's 14th congressional district, where she captured roughly 38% of the vote ahead of Melissa Hernandez at 17%, has shaped trader views on advancement patterns in the overlapping special primary scheduled for June 16. The open seat, created by Eric Swalwell's April resignation amid misconduct allegations, features a crowded Democratic field including state Sen. Wahab, who secured her party's endorsement, alongside BART board president Hernandez and several Republican and other Democratic challengers. California's nonpartisan primary rules mean the top two vote-getters advance regardless of party, with the special election general on August 18; recent vote shares and party endorsement dynamics indicate limited crossover potential in this heavily Democratic East Bay district.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$7,275
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
May 21, 2026, 6:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"CA-14 Primary Winners" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Aisha Wahab" con 100%, seguido de "Melissa Hernandez" con 61%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"CA-14 Primary Winners" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el May 21, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "CA-14 Primary Winners", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "CA-14 Primary Winners" es "Aisha Wahab" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Melissa Hernandez" con 61%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "CA-14 Primary Winners" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.