Hong Kong Observatory rain gauge data records 160.4 mm of total precipitation through April 29, 2026, positioning the 160-170 mm outcome at 97.8% trader consensus as the month concludes on April 30. This commanding lead stems from steady accumulation driven by heavy showers under an amber rainstorm warning on April 29, which added significant volume after slower early-month rains totaling around 60 mm by mid-April. With only hours remaining, forecasts indicate stable weather without major systems, minimizing further rainfall. Upsetting scenarios would require an extreme deluge exceeding 9.6 mm on the final day—unlikely absent a sudden tropical disturbance—potentially shifting totals into adjacent brackets like 170-180 mm or below 160 mm if underreported.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPrecipitation in Hong Kong in April?
Precipitation in Hong Kong in April?
160-170mm 98.1%
150-160mm 1.5%
190mm+ 1.4%
<130mm <1%
$208,936 Vol.
$208,936 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
<130mm
1%
130-140mm
1%
140-150mm
<1%
150-160mm
2%
160-170mm
98%
190-200mm
<1%
180-190
<1%
190mm+
1%
160-170mm 98.1%
150-160mm 1.5%
190mm+ 1.4%
<130mm <1%
$208,936 Vol.
$208,936 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
<130mm
$52,036 Vol.
1%
130-140mm
$28,219 Vol.
1%
140-150mm
$31,214 Vol.
<1%
150-160mm
$48,436 Vol.
2%
160-170mm
$22,103 Vol.
98%
190-200mm
$6,583 Vol.
<1%
180-190
$7,983 Vol.
<1%
190mm+
$13,577 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory rain gauge data records 160.4 mm of total precipitation through April 29, 2026, positioning the 160-170 mm outcome at 97.8% trader consensus as the month concludes on April 30. This commanding lead stems from steady accumulation driven by heavy showers under an amber rainstorm warning on April 29, which added significant volume after slower early-month rains totaling around 60 mm by mid-April. With only hours remaining, forecasts indicate stable weather without major systems, minimizing further rainfall. Upsetting scenarios would require an extreme deluge exceeding 9.6 mm on the final day—unlikely absent a sudden tropical disturbance—potentially shifting totals into adjacent brackets like 170-180 mm or below 160 mm if underreported.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Volume
$208,936End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory rain gauge data records 160.4 mm of total precipitation through April 29, 2026, positioning the 160-170 mm outcome at 97.8% trader consensus as the month concludes on April 30. This commanding lead stems from steady accumulation driven by heavy showers under an amber rainstorm warning on April 29, which added significant volume after slower early-month rains totaling around 60 mm by mid-April. With only hours remaining, forecasts indicate stable weather without major systems, minimizing further rainfall. Upsetting scenarios would require an extreme deluge exceeding 9.6 mm on the final day—unlikely absent a sudden tropical disturbance—potentially shifting totals into adjacent brackets like 170-180 mm or below 160 mm if underreported.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$208,936End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory rain gauge data records 160.4 mm of total precipitation through April 29, 2026, positioning the 160-170 mm outcome at 97.8% trader consensus as the month concludes on April 30. This commanding lead stems from steady accumulation driven by heavy showers under an amber rainstorm warning on April 29, which added significant volume after slower early-month rains totaling around 60 mm by mid-April. With only hours remaining, forecasts indicate stable weather without major systems, minimizing further rainfall. Upsetting scenarios would require an extreme deluge exceeding 9.6 mm on the final day—unlikely absent a sudden tropical disturbance—potentially shifting totals into adjacent brackets like 170-180 mm or below 160 mm if underreported.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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